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Flash floods in urban areas occur with increasing frequency. Detecting these floods would greatlyhelp alleviate human and economic losses. However, current flood prediction methods are eithertoo slow or too simplified to capture the flood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-28 Kun Qian , Abduallah Mohamed , Christian Claudel

Gaining a deeper understanding of weather and being able to predict its future conduct have always been considered important endeavors for the growth of our society. This research paper explores the advancements in understanding and…

Forecasting rainfall in tropical areas is challenging due to complex atmospheric behaviour, elevated humidity levels, and the common presence of convective rain events. In the Indian context, the difficulty is further exacerbated because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Ajay Devda , Akshay Sunil , Murthy R , B Deepthi

Extreme events are of great importance since they often represent impactive occurrences. For instance, in terms of climate and weather, extreme events might be major storms, floods, extreme heat or cold waves, and more. However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Jimeng Shi , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Disaster response agencies have been shifting from a paradigm of climate forecasting towards one of anticipatory action: assessing not just what the climate will be, but how it will impact specific populations, thereby enabling proactive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Benjamin Q. Huynh , Mathew V. Kiang

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Very short-term convective storm forecasting, termed nowcasting, has long been an important issue and has attracted substantial interest. Existing nowcasting methods rely principally on radar images and are limited in terms of nowcasting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Wei Zhang , Wei Li , Lei Han

The study of complex systems in nature is essential to understand the interactions between different elements and how they influence one another. Complex network theory is a powerful tool that helps us to analyze these interactions and gain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Aurelienne A. S. Jorge , Douglas Uba , Alex A. Fernandes , Izabelly C. Costa , Leonardo B. L. Santos

Developing methods to predict disastrous natural phenomena is more important than ever, and tornadoes are among the most dangerous ones in nature. Due to the unpredictability of the weather, counteracting them is not an easy task and today…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Davide Alessandro Coccomini , Giuliano Zara

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…

Natural climate variability, captured through multiple initial condition ensembles, may be comparable to the variability caused by knowledge gaps in future emissions trajectories and in the physical science basis, especially at…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Udit Bhatia , Auroop Ratan Ganguly

The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-06-19 Mikko Närhi , Lauri Salmela , Juha Toivonen , Cyril Billet , John M. Dudley , Goëry Genty

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Seasonal forecasting is a crucial task when it comes to detecting the extreme heat and colds that occur due to climate change. Confidence in the predictions should be reliable since a small increase in the temperatures in a year has a big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Busra Asan , Abdullah Akgül , Alper Unal , Melih Kandemir , Gozde Unal

Geomagnetic storms, disturbances of Earth's magnetosphere caused by masses of charged particles being emitted from the Sun, are an uncontrollable threat to modern technology. Notably, they have the potential to damage satellites and cause…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Kyle Domico , Ryan Sheatsley , Yohan Beugin , Quinn Burke , Patrick McDaniel

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

The emergence of data-driven weather forecast models provides great promise for producing faster, computationally cheaper weather forecasts, compared to physics-based numerical models. However, while the performance of artificial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Hilla Afargan-Gerstman , Rachel W. -Y. Wu , Alice Ferrini , Daniela I. V. Domeisen