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According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks after a mainshock decays as a power law with an exponent close to 1. This well-established law was intensively used in the past to study and model the statistical properties of…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-28 Eitan E. Asher , Shlomo Havlin , Shay Moshel , Yosef Ashkenazy

The inverse Omori law for foreshocks discovered in the 1970s states that the rate of earthquakes prior to a mainshock increases on average as a power law ~ 1/(t_c-t)^p' of the time to the mainshock occurring at t_c. Here, we show that this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette , J. -R. Grasso

The epidemic-type aftershock sequence model (ETAS) is a simple stochastic process modeling seismicity, based on the two best-established empirical laws, the Omori law (power law decay ~1/t^{1+\theta} of seismicity after an earthquake) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

After the main shock of an earthquake, a stream of aftershocks that does not subside for a long time is usually observed. Fusakichi Omori found that the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically with time. It has recently been…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-31 Anatol Guglielmi , Alexey Zavyalov , Oleg Zotov , Boris Klain

We present an analytical solution and numerical tests of the epidemic-type aftershock (ETAS) model for aftershocks, which describes foreshocks, aftershocks and mainshocks on the same footing. The occurrence rate of aftershocks triggered by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

We propose a new physically-based ``multifractal stress activation'' model of earthquake interaction and triggering based on two simple ingredients: (i) a seismic rupture results from activated processes giving an exponential dependence on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ouillon , D. Sornette

Together with the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake magnitudes, Omori's law is the best established empirical characterization of earthquake sequences and states that the number of smaller earthquakes per unit time triggered by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 A. Sornette , D. Sornette

The decay rate of aftershocks has been modeled as a power law since the pioneering work of Omori in the late nineteenth century. Considered the second most fundamental empirical law after the Gutenberg-Richter relationship, the power law…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-01-07 Arnaud Mignan

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event.…

We consider a branching model of triggered seismicity, the ETAS (epidemic-type aftershock sequence) model which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes (``aftershocks''). An aftershock sequence results in this model from…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Crustal deformation due to the 2016 earthquake sequence in Kumamoto, Japan, that culminated in a preceding earthquake of magnitude M6.5 and a subsequent M7.3 earthquake 28 hours later, caused stress perturbation on and around the causative…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , M. Kamogawa

The elementary theory of relaxation of the source cooling down after the main shock of an earthquake is presented axiomatically. The names of the objects under study are given and the relationships between them are determined. A new basic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-18 A. V. Guglielmi

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

After a large earthquake, the likelihood of successive strong aftershocks needs to be estimated. Exploiting similarities with critical phenomena, we introduce a scaling law for the decay in time following a main shock of the expected number…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski , Attilio Stella

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

Sequences of aftershocks following Omori's empirical law are observed after most major earthquakes, as well as in laboratory-scale fault-mimicking experiments. Nevertheless, the origin of this memory effect is still unclear. In this letter,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-28 A. Mathey , J. Crassous , D. Marsan , J. Weiss , A. Amon

The Omori-Utsu law shows the temporal power-law-like decrease of the frequency of earthquake aftershocks and, interestingly, is found in a variety of complex systems/phenomena exhibiting catastrophes. Now, it may be interpreted as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki , Dmitrii A. Tayurskii

After the main shock of an earthquake the aftershocks are observed. According to Omori's law, the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically over time. We noticed that, strictly speaking, Omori's law paradoxically contradicts the law…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-27 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

The power law of aftershock evolution was proposed by Hirano in 1924 and introduced by Utsu into seismology in the second half of the last century. The Hirano-Utsu law is widely used in studying the relaxation of earthquake source after the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-01 A. V. Guglielmi

Static and dynamic stress changes in the Earth's crust induced by an earthquake typically trigger other earthquakes. Identifying such aftershocks is an important step in seismic hazard assessment but has remained challenging, especially in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-14 Andreu Puy , Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras
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