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Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Arctic warming threatens over 100 billion in permafrost-dependent infrastructure across Northern territories, yet existing risk assessment frameworks lack spatiotemporal validation, uncertainty quantification, and operational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Boris Kriuk

The mass loss of the polar ice sheets contributes considerably to ongoing sea-level rise and changing ocean circulation, leading to coastal flooding and risking the homes and livelihoods of tens of millions of people globally. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Zesheng Liu , YoungHyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat becomes a priority for climate adaptation efforts. High temperatures concentrated in urban heat can drive increased risk of heat-related death and illness as well as increased energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Grant Buster , Jordan Cox , Brandon N. Benton , Ryan N. King

Thermal management in the hyper-scale cloud data centers is a critical problem. Increased host temperature creates hotspots which significantly increases cooling cost and affects reliability. Accurate prediction of host temperature is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Shashikant Ilager , Kotagiri Ramamohanarao , Rajkumar Buyya

Wildfires pose a significant natural disaster risk to populations and contribute to accelerated climate change. As wildfires are also affected by climate change, extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent. Although they occur less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Assaf Shmuel , Teddy Lazebnik , Oren Glickman , Eyal Heifetz , Colin Price

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Ken C. L. Wong , Hongzhi Wang , Etienne E. Vos , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell D. Watson , Tanveer Syeda-Mahmood

Accurately forecasting the weather is a key requirement for climate change mitigation. Data-driven methods offer the ability to make more accurate forecasts, but lack interpretability and can be expensive to train and deploy if models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Dominic J. Skinner , Romit Maulik

Outdoor thermal comfort is a critical determinant of urban livability, particularly in hot desert climates where extreme heat poses challenges to public health, energy consumption, and urban planning. Mean Radiant Temperature ($T_{mrt}$) is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Pouya Shaeri , Saud AlKhaled , Ariane Middel

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-05 Jerry Lin , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Tom Beucler , Sungduk Yu , Michael Pritchard

Weather forecasting centers currently rely on statistical postprocessing methods to minimize forecast error. This improves skill but can lead to predictions that violate physical principles or disregard dependencies between variables, which…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-23 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler , Mark A. Liniger

Physics-based models of dynamical systems are often used to study engineering and environmental systems. Despite their extensive use, these models have several well-known limitations due to simplified representations of the physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Xiaowei Jia , Jared Willard , Anuj Karpatne , Jordan S Read , Jacob A Zwart , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data, yet conventional machine learning models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Jannis Fleckenstein , David Kreismann , Tamara Rosemary Govindasamy , Thomas Brunschwiler , Etienne Vos , Mattia Rigotti

This paper proposes a physics-guided machine learning approach that combines advanced machine learning models and physics-based models to improve the prediction of water flow and temperature in river networks. We first build a recurrent…

Decadal temperature prediction provides crucial information for quantifying the expected effects of future climate changes and thus informs strategic planning and decision-making in various domains. However, such long-term predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Jinfu Ren , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu
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