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Operational forecasting centers are investing in decadal (1-10 year) forecast systems to support long-term decision making for a more climate-resilient society. One method that has previously been employed is the Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson , David Gold

``Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a new seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean--atmosphere--sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-27 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Eric J. Steig

We demonstrate that combining machine learning with data assimilation leads to a major improvement in phytoplankton short-range (1-5 day) forecasts for the North-West European Shelf (NWES) seas. We show that excess nitrate concentrations…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-05 Deep S Banerjee , Jozef Skakala , David Ford

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are a representative class of deep learning algorithms including convolutional computation that perform translation-invariant classification of input data based on their hierarchical architecture.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Zihao Guo , Yueying Cao

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

This study introduces ReSA-ConvLSTM, an artificial intelligence (AI) framework for systematic bias correction in numerical weather prediction (NWP). We propose three innovations by integrating dynamic climatological normalization, ConvLSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Xiao Zhou , Yuze Sun , Jie Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

With the development of the financial industry, credit default prediction, as an important task in financial risk management, has received increasing attention. Traditional credit default prediction methods mostly rely on machine learning…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Yuhan Wang , Zhen Xu , Yue Yao , Jinsong Liu , Jiating Lin

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

The mapping of ocean floor layers is a current challenge for the oil industry. Existing solution methods involve mapping through seismic methods and wave inversion, which are complex and computationally expensive. The introduction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Guilherme G. D. Fernandes , Vitor S. P. P. Oliveira , João P. I. Astolfo

Mesoscale eddies are of utmost importance in understanding ocean dynamics and the transport of heat, salt, and nutrients. Accurate representation of these eddies in ocean models is essential for improving model predictions. However,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-07 Guosong Wang , Min Hou , Xinrong Wu , Xidong Wang , Zhigang Gao , Hongli Fu , Bo Dan , Chunjian Sun , Xiaoshuang Zhang

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

Artificial intelligence has advanced global weather forecasting, outperforming traditional numerical models in both accuracy and computational efficiency. Nevertheless, extending predictions beyond subseasonal timescales requires the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-18 Jeong-Hwan Kim , Daehyun Kang , Young-Min Yang , Jae-Heung Park , Yoo-Geun Ham

We demonstrate the first climate-scale, numerical ocean simulations improved through distributed, online inference of Deep Neural Networks (DNN) using SmartSim. SmartSim is a library dedicated to enabling online analysis and Machine…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sam Partee , Matthew Ellis , Alessandro Rigazzi , Scott Bachman , Gustavo Marques , Andrew Shao , Benjamin Robbins

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…

Satellite altimeter observations retrieved since 1993 show that the global mean sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate (3.4mm/year). With almost three decades of observations, we can now investigate the contributions of anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

On average once every four years, the Tropical Pacific warms considerably during events called El Ni\~no, leading to weather disruptions over many regions on Earth. Recent machine-learning approaches to El Ni\~no prediction, in particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 G. Lancia , I. J. Goede , C. Spitoni , H. A. Dijkstra

We explore the potential of feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for emulating cloud superparameterization in realistic geography, using offline fits to data from the Super Parameterized Community Atmospheric Model. To identify the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Jordan Ott , Galen Yacalis , Pierre Baldi , Pierre Gentine

Variation of Arctic sea ice has significant impacts on polar ecosystems, transporting routes, coastal communities, and global climate. Tracing the change of sea ice at a finer scale is paramount for both operational applications and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Jingyi Xu , Siwei Tu , Weidong Yang , Shuhao Li , Keyi Liu , Yeqi Luo , Lipeng Ma , Ben Fei , Lei Bai

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang