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We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Supply chain resilience and efficiency are vital in industries characterized by volatile demand and uncertain supply, such as textiles and personal protective equipment (PPE). Traditional forecasting and optimization approaches often…

This research proposes a cutting-edge ensemble deep learning framework for stock price prediction by combining three advanced neural network architectures: The particular areas of interest for the research include but are not limited to:…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-31 Anindya Sarkar , G. Vadivu

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

Stock price prediction is a critical area of financial forecasting, traditionally approached by training models using the historical price data of individual stocks. While these models effectively capture single-stock patterns, they fail to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Yi Hu , Hanchi Ren , Jingjing Deng , Xianghua Xie

The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

Deep learning techniques have recently shown promise in the field of anomaly detection, providing a flexible and effective method of modelling systems in comparison to traditional statistical modelling and signal processing-based methods.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ayman Elhalwagy , Tatiana Kalganova

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

Accurate stock price prediction is crucial for investors and financial institutions, yet the complexity of the stock market makes it highly challenging. This study aims to construct an effective model to enhance the prediction ability of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zi-xi Hu , Bao Shen , Yiwen Hu , Chen Zhao

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Kavyashree Ranawat , Stefano Giani

Deep-learning models such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) have been successfully used for process-mining tasks. They have achieved better performance for different predictive tasks than traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Ishwar Venugopal , Jessica Töllich , Michael Fairbank , Ansgar Scherp