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In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

In many applications in biology, engineering and economics, identifying similarities and differences between distributions of data from complex processes requires comparing finite categorical samples of discrete counts. Statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Francesco Camaglia , Ilya Nemenman , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

We characterize Martin-L\"of randomness and Schnorr randomness in terms of the merging of opinions, along the lines of the Blackwell-Dubins Theorem. After setting up a general framework for defining notions of merging randomness, we focus…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Simon M. Huttegger , Sean Walsh , Francesca Zaffora Blando

Good robust estimators can be tuned to combine a high breakdown point and a specified asymptotic efficiency at a central model. This happens in regression with MM- and tau-estimators among others. However, the finite-sample efficiency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Ricardo Maronna , Víctor Yohai

In many practical situations we would like to estimate the covariance matrix of a set of variables from an insufficient amount of data. More specifically, if we have a set of $N$ independent, identically distributed measurements of an $M$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Thomas L. Marzetta , Gabriel H. Tucci , Steven H. Simon

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

Cross-validation is one of the most widely used methods for model selection and evaluation; its efficiency for large covariance matrix estimation appears robust in practice, but little is known about the theoretical behavior of its error.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Lamia Lamrani , Benoît Collins , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Discrete normal distributions are defined as the distributions with prescribed means and covariance matrices which maximize entropy on the integer lattice support. The set of discrete normal distributions form an exponential family with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Frank Nielsen

We address the question of estimating Kullback-Leibler losses rather than squared losses in recovery problems where the noise is distributed within the exponential family. Inspired by Stein unbiased risk estimator (SURE), we exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-22 Charles-Alban Deledalle

A separable covariance model for a random matrix provides a parsimonious description of the covariances among the rows and among the columns of the matrix, and permits likelihood-based inference with a very small sample size. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Peter Hoff , Andrew McCormack , Anru R. Zhang

Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

To characterize the Kullback-Leibler divergence and Fisher information in general parametrized hidden Markov models, in this paper, we first show that the log likelihood and its derivatives can be represented as an additive functional of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao , Tianxiao Pang

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental concept in information theory that quantifies the discrepancy between two probability distributions. In the context of Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), it serves as a central regularization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Andrés Muñoz , Rodrigo Ramele

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

We propose a distributed Bayesian quickest change detection algorithm for sensor networks, based on a random gossip inter-sensor communication structure. Without a control or fusion center, each sensor executes its local change detection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Di Li , Soummya Kar , Fuad E. Alsaadi , Shuguang Cui

Information divergence that measures the difference between two nonnegative matrices or tensors has found its use in a variety of machine learning problems. Examples are Nonnegative Matrix/Tensor Factorization, Stochastic Neighbor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-06 Onur Dikmen , Zhirong Yang , Erkki Oja

In the high-dimensional data setting, the sample covariance matrix is singular. In order to get a numerically stable and positive definite modification of the sample covariance matrix in the high-dimensional data setting, in this paper we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Shaoxin Wang

In the loss function of Variational Autoencoders there is a well known tension between two components: the reconstruction loss, improving the quality of the resulting images, and the Kullback-Leibler divergence, acting as a regularizer of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andrea Asperti , Matteo Trentin

We consider the problem of estimating covariance and precision matrices, and their associated discriminant coefficients, from normal data when the rank of the covariance matrix is strictly smaller than its dimension and the available sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells