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In optimal covariance cleaning theory, minimizing the Frobenius norm between the true population covariance matrix and a rotational invariant estimator is a key step. This estimator can be obtained asymptotically for large covariance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Christian Bongiorno , Marco Berritta

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

The problem of filtering information from large correlation matrices is of great importance in many applications. We have recently proposed the use of the Kullback-Leibler distance to measure the performance of filtering algorithms in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , R. N. Mantegna

In this work we construct an optimal linear shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix in high dimensions. The recent results from the random matrix theory allow us to find the asymptotic deterministic equivalents of the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Taras Bodnar , Arjun K. Gupta , Nestor Parolya

We present a comparison between various algorithms of inference of covariance and precision matrices in small datasets of real vectors, of the typical length and dimension of human brain activity time series retrieved by functional Magnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-07 Miguel Ibáñez-Berganza , Carlo Lucibello , Francesca Santucci , Tommaso Gili , Andrea Gabrielli

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

Selecting an optimal subset of features or instances under an information theoretic criterion has become an effective preprocessing strategy for reducing data complexity while preserving essential information. This study investigates two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Taotao He , Jun Luo , Junkai Zhao

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

We give a new algorithm for the estimation of the cross-covariance matrix $\mathbb{E} XY'$ of two large dimensional signals $X\in\mathbb{R}^n$, $Y\in \mathbb{R}^p$ in the context where the number $T$ of observations of the pair $(X,Y)$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Florent Benaych-Georges , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

The performance of machine learning classification algorithms are evaluated by estimating metrics, often from the confusion matrix, using training data and cross-validation. However, these do not prove that the best possible performance has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 L. Crow , S. J. Watts

Covariance matrix plays a central role in multivariate statistical analysis. Significant advances have been made recently on developing both theory and methodology for estimating large covariance matrices. However, a minimax theory has yet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 T. Tony Cai , Cun-Hui Zhang , Harrison H. Zhou

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

This paper studies the problem of interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation for jump Markov linear systems with unknown measurement noise covariance. The system state and the unknown covariance are jointly estimated in the framework of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-06 Wenling Li , Yingmin Jia

In this paper we propose a dimension-reduction strategy in order to improve the performance of importance sampling in high dimension. The idea is to estimate variance terms in a small number of suitably chosen directions. We first prove…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-24 Maxime ElMasri , Jérôme Morio , Florian Simatos

Parameter inference with an estimated covariance matrix systematically loses information due to the remaining uncertainty of the covariance matrix. Here, we quantify this loss of precision and develop a framework to hypothetically restore…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-16 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber
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