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The most common approaches for solving multistage stochastic programming problems in the research literature have been to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Warren B Powell , Saeed Ghadimi

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Engineering simulations using boundary-value partial differential equations often implicitly assume that the uncertainty in the location of the boundary has a negligible impact on the output of the simulation. In this work, we develop a…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-11 S. Gerry Gralton , Farah Alkhatib , Ben Zwick , George Bourantas , Adam Wittek , Karol Miller

We review opportunities for stochastic geometric mechanics to incorporate observed data into variational principles, in order to derive data-driven nonlinear dynamical models of effects on the variability of computationally resolvable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-28 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

An approximate formulation of a robust geometric program (RGP) as a convex program is proposed. Interest in using geometric programs (GPs) to model complex engineering systems has been growing, and this has motivated explicitly modeling the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Ali Saab , Edward Burnell , Warren W. Hoburg

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Solution and analysis of mathematical programming problems may be simplified when these problems are symmetric under appropriate linear transformations. In particular, a knowledge of the symmetries may help reduce the problem dimension, cut…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-13 A. V. Eremeev , A. S. Yurkov

Probabilistic Logic Programming is an effective formalism for encoding problems characterized by uncertainty. Some of these problems may require the optimization of probability values subject to constraints among probability distributions…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Damiano Azzolini , Fabrizio Riguzzi

This paper discusses a class of uncertain optimization problems, in which unknown parameters are modeled by fuzzy intervals. The membership functions of the fuzzy intervals are interpreted as possibility distributions for the values of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We consider a stochastic variant of the packing-type integer linear programming problem, which contains random variables in the objective vector. We are allowed to reveal each entry of the objective vector by conducting a query, and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Takanori Maehara , Yutaro Yamaguchi

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Accurate representations of unknown and sub-grid physical processes through parameterizations (or closure) in numerical simulations with quantified uncertainty are critical for resolving the coarse-grained partial differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Yongquan Qu , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

We present a novel, input-output data-driven approach to uncertainty model identification. As the true bounds and distributions of system uncertainties ultimately remain unknown, we depart from the goal of identifying the uncertainty model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Jannes Hühnerbein , Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

We introduce a framework for uncertainty estimation that both describes and extends many existing methods. We consider typical hyperparameters involved in classical training as random variables and marginalise them out to capture various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Francesco Farina , Lawrence Phillips , Nicola J Richmond

We examine a constrained Markov decision process under uncertain transition probabilities, with the uncertainty modeled as deviations from observed transition probabilities. We construct the uncertainty set associated with the deviations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 V Varagapriya

This paper describes a new approach to solving some stochastic optimization problems for linear dynamic system with various parametric uncertainties. Proposed approach is based on application of tensor formalism for creation the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-15 Vadim Yatsenko

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Bojana V. Rosić , Anna Kučerová , Jan Sýkora , Oliver Pajonk , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Budgeted uncertainty sets have been established as a major influence on uncertainty modeling for robust optimization problems. A drawback of such sets is that the budget constraint only restricts the global amount of cost increase that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl

A standard quadratic program is an optimization problem that consists of minimizing a (nonconvex) quadratic form over the unit simplex. We focus on reformulating a standard quadratic program as a mixed integer linear programming problem. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Jacek Gondzio , E. Alper Yildirim