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We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

The hierarchical prior used in Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) induces a posterior geometry prone to frustrate inference algorithms. Marginalizing out the latent Gaussian variable using an integrated Laplace approximation removes the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-28 Charles C. Margossian

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Latent variable models have been widely applied in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable, so that one or more latent variables are required to reduce the complexity of the data. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Silvia Bianconcini

Non-Gaussian likelihoods are essential for modelling complex real-world observations but pose significant computational challenges in learning and inference. Even with Gaussian priors, non-Gaussian likelihoods often lead to analytically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thang D. Bui

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

Gaussian mixture models form a flexible and expressive parametric family of distributions that has found applications in a wide variety of applications. Unfortunately, fitting these models to data is a notoriously hard problem from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Yuling Yan , Kaizheng Wang , Philippe Rigollet

Rue and Held (2005) proposed a method for efficiently computing the Gaussian likelihood for stationary Markov random field models, when the data locations fall on a complete regular grid, and the model has no additive error term. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-16 Joseph Guinness , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We present a method to approximate Gaussian process regression models for large datasets by considering only a subset of the data. Our approach is novel in that the size of the subset is selected on the fly during exact inference with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Simon Bartels , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen , Søren Hauberg

This paper considers the Laplace method to derive approximate inference for the Gaussian process (GP) regression in the location and scale parameters of the Student-t probabilistic model. This allows both mean and variance of the data to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-09 Marcelo Hartmann , Jarno Vanhatalo

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-01 Jaakko Riihimäki , Aki Vehtari

Guaranteed lower Dirichlet eigenvalue bounds (GLB) can be computed for the $m$-th Laplace operator with a recently introduced extra-stabilized nonconforming Crouzeix-Raviart ($m=1$) or Morley ($m=2$) finite element eigensolver. Striking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Carsten Carstensen , Sophie Puttkammer

Latent variable models for ordinal data represent a useful tool in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable. In such models, problems related to the integration of the likelihood function…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin
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