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Maintaining energy balance and economical operation is significant for multi-energy systems such as the energy hub. However, it is usually challenged by the frequently changing and unpredictable uncertainties at different timescales. Under…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Jiaxin Cao , Bo Yang , Shanying Zhu , Chi Yung Chung , Xinping Guan

Predicting the short-term power output of a photovoltaic panel is an important task for the efficient management of smart grids. Short-term forecasting at the minute scale, also known as nowcasting, can benefit from sky images captured by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jinsong Zhang , Rodrigo Verschae , Shohei Nobuhara , Jean-François Lalonde

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Macroeconomic nowcasting sits at the intersection of traditional econometrics, data-rich information systems, and AI applications in business, economics, and policy. Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly used to nowcast quarterly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-02 Luca Attolico

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

The world is facing major challenges related to global warming and emissions of greenhouse gases is a major causing factor. In 2017, energy industries accounted for 46% of all CO2 emissions globally, which shows a large potential for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Neeraj Bokde , Bo Tranberg , Gorm Bruun Andresen

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Air pollution is a worldwide public health threat that can cause or exacerbate many illnesses, including respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, and some cancers. However, epidemiological studies and public health decision-making are…

Accurate intraday forecasts of the power output by PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems are critical to improve the operation of energy distribution grids. We describe a neural autoregressive model that aims to perform such intraday forecasts. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Pierrick Bruneau , David Fiorelli , Christian Braun , Daniel Koster

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

In the context of capacity planning, forecasting the evolution of informatics servers usage enables companies to better manage their computational resources. We address this problem by collecting key indicator time series and propose to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Colin Leverger , Vincent Lemaire , Simon Malinowski , Thomas Guyet , Laurence Rozé

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Pablo R. Baldivieso Monasterios , Nandor Verba , Euan A Morris , Thomas Morstyn , George. C , . Konstantopoulos , Elena Gaura , Stephen McArthur

Regulating the proper carbon-aware intervention policy is one of the keys to emission alleviation in the distribution network, whose basis lies in effectively attributing the emission responsibility using emission factors. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-13 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Hongbin Sun , Qiuwei Wu , Wenchuan Wu

While wind and solar power contribute to sustainability, their intermittent nature poses challenges when integrated into the grid. To mitigate these issues, renewable energy can be combined with coal fired power and hydropower sources to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Manling Hu , Manqi Xu , Dunnan Liu

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Transportation is a major contributor to CO2 emissions, making it essential to optimize traffic networks to reduce energy-related emissions. This paper presents a novel approach to traffic network control using Differentiable Predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Renukanandan Tumu , Wenceslao Shaw Cortez , Ján Drgoňa , Draguna L. Vrabie , Sonja Glavaski

Solar PV yield nowcasting is used to help anticipate peaks and troughs in demand to support grid integration. This paper compares multiple low-resource approaches to nowcasting solar PV yield, using a dataset of UK satellite imagery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ben Dixon , María Pérez-Ortiz , Jacob Bieker