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Many applications require the robustness, or ideally the invariance, of a neural network to certain transformations of input data. Most commonly, this requirement is addressed by either augmenting the training data, using adversarial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Kanchana Vaishnavi Gandikota , Jonas Geiping , Zorah Lähner , Adam Czapliński , Michael Moeller

This paper is a journal counterpart to our FOCS 2021 paper, in which we initiate the study of property testing problems concerning a finite system of relations $E$ between permutations, generalizing the study of stability in permutations.…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Oren Becker , Alexander Lubotzky , Jonathan Mosheiff

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

E-values and E-processes (nonnegative supermartingales) provide anytime-valid evidence for sequential testing via Ville's inequality, yet their connection to Bayesian reasoning, representational structure, and computational feasibility are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Community structure in networks naturally arises in various applications. But while the topic has received significant attention for static networks, the literature on community structure in temporally evolving networks is more scarce. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Eric Yanchenko , Jonathan P. Williams , Ryan Martin

The e-value is swiftly rising in prominence in many applications of hypothesis testing and multiple testing, yet its relationship to classical testing theory remains elusive. We unify e-values and classical testing into a single 'continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Nick W. Koning

E-variables are nonnegative random variables with expected value at most one under any distribution from a given null hypothesis. Every nonasymptotically valid test can be obtained by thresholding some e-variable. As such, e-variables arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Martin Larsson , Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf

The original problem of group testing consists in the identification of defective items in a collection, by applying tests on groups of items that detect the presence of at least one defective item in the group. The aim is then to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-10 Emilien Joly , Bastien Mallein

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

In scientific studies involving analyses of multivariate data, basic but important questions often arise for the researcher: Is the sample exchangeable, meaning that the joint distribution of the sample is invariant to the ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Alan J. Aw , Jeffrey P. Spence , Yun S. Song

We prove a pointwise ergodic theorem and a maximal inequality for actions of amenable groups on noncommutative measure spaces. To do so, we establish a square function estimate quantifying the difference between ergodic averages and some…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Léonard Cadilhac , Simeng Wang

We develop the theory of hypothesis testing based on the e-value, a notion of evidence that, unlike the p-value, allows for effortlessly combining results from several studies in the common scenario where the decision to perform a new study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Peter Grünwald , Rianne de Heide , Wouter Koolen

We present a Monte Carlo method to compute efficiently susceptibilites or covariances of two physical variables. The method relies on a generalization of the exchange cluster algorithm to any model of interacting particles with any $2$-body…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-11 Assaraf Roland , Chevreau Hilaire

A standard assumption in machine learning is the exchangeability of data, which is equivalent to assuming that the examples are generated from the same probability distribution independently. This paper is devoted to testing the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-29 Valentina Fedorova , Alex Gammerman , Ilia Nouretdinov , Vladimir Vovk

There is a useful counterpart of conformal prediction for e-values, called conformal e-prediction. Conformal prediction can serve as basis for testing the assumption of exchangeability, leading to conformal testing. Similarly, conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Conformal prediction has been a very popular method of distribution-free predictive inference in recent years in machine learning and statistics. Its popularity stems from the fact that it works as a wrapper around any prediction algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We develop E-variables for testing whether two or more data streams come from the same source or not, and more generally, whether the difference between the sources is larger than some minimal effect size. These E-variables lead to exact,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-23 Rosanne Turner , Alexander Ly , Peter Grünwald

For a compact group G, we give a sufficient condition for embedding one G-equivariant vector bundle into another one and for a stable isomorphism between two such bundles to imply an isomorphism. Our criteria involve multiplicities of…

K-Theory and Homology · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Malkhaz Bakuradze , Ralf Meyer

It is a commonly held belief that enforcing invariance improves generalisation. Although this approach enjoys widespread popularity, it is only very recently that a rigorous theoretical demonstration of this benefit has been established. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-21 Bryn Elesedy

Exchangeable arrays are natural tools to model common forms of dependence between units of a sample. Jointly exchangeable arrays are well suited to dyadic data, where observed random variables are indexed by two units from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch