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In recent years, high-frequency trading has emerged as a crucial strategy in stock trading. This study aims to develop an advanced high-frequency trading algorithm and compare the performance of three different mathematical models: the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Jiahao Chen , Xiaofei Li

Accurate prediction of future prices of stocks is a difficult task to perform. Even more challenging is to design an optimized portfolio with weights allocated to the stocks in a way that optimizes its return and the risk. This paper…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-06 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Gourab Nath

Large language models (LLMs) and their fine-tuning techniques have demonstrated superior performance in various language understanding and generation tasks. This paper explores fine-tuning LLMs for stock return forecasting with financial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 Tian Guo , Emmanuel Hauptmann

Most real-world datasets, and particularly those collected from physical systems, are full of noise, packet loss, and other imperfections. However, most specification mining, anomaly detection and other such algorithms assume, or even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Ilia Sucholutsky , Apurva Narayan , Matthias Schonlau , Sebastian Fischmeister

Stock prices forecasting has always been a challenging task. Although many research projects try to address the problem, few of them pay attention to the varying degrees of dependencies between stock prices. In this paper, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Yuanzhe Jia , Ali Anaissi , Basem Suleiman

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

With the improvement of computer performance and the development of GPU-accelerated technology, trading with machine learning algorithms has attracted the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In this research, we propose a novel…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Huanming Zhang , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su

Designing robust and accurate prediction models has been a viable research area since a long time. While proponents of a well-functioning market predictors believe that it is difficult to accurately predict market prices but many scholars…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-16 Vishal Kuber , Divakar Yadav , Arun Kr Yadav

The majority of studies in the field of AI guided financial trading focus on purely applying machine learning algorithms to continuous historical price and technical analysis data. However, due to non-stationary and high volatile nature of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Ling Qi , Matloob Khushi , Josiah Poon

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

We compare traditional approach of computing logarithmic returns with the fractional differencing method and its tempered extension as methods of data preparation before their usage in advanced machine learning models. Differencing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Janusz Gajda

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Portfolio optimization has been a broad and intense area of interest for quantitative and statistical finance researchers and financial analysts. It is a challenging task to design a portfolio of stocks to arrive at the optimized values of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Sidra Mehtab

In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Fully capturing various market variables, including long-term information, as well as essential signals…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Zhaofeng Zhang , Banghao Chen , Shengxin Zhu , Nicolas Langrené

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan