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The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Stochastic Petri Nets (SPNs) are an increasingly popular tool of choice for modeling discrete-event dynamics in areas such as epidemiology and systems biology, yet their parameter estimation remains challenging in general and in particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Bright Kwaku Manu , Trevor Reckell , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtic

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have recently shown great promise as a way of incorporating physics-based domain knowledge, including fundamental governing equations, into neural network models for many complex engineering systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Jian Cheng Wong , Chinchun Ooi , Pao-Hsiung Chiu , My Ha Dao

The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly non-trivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models…

The computational resources required to solve the full 3D inversion of time-domain electromagnetic data are immense. To overcome the time-consuming 3D simulations, we construct a surrogate model, more precisely, a data-driven statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-07-10 Wouter Deleersnyder , David Dudal , Thomas Hermans

We consider data-driven reachability analysis of discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems using conformal inference. We assume that we are not provided with a symbolic representation of the stochastic system, but instead have access to a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Navid Hashemi , Xin Qin , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Assessing the safety and environmental impacts of subsurface resource exploitation and management is critical and requires robust geomechanical modeling. However, uncertainties stemming from model assumptions, intrinsic variability of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Caterina Millevoi , Claudia Zoccarato , Massimiliano Ferronato

Loosely coupled partitioned methods for multiphysics problems treat each subproblem as a separate entity and advance them independently in time. In so doing these methods enable code reuse, increase concurrency and provide a convenient…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Pavel Bochev , Justin Owen , Paul Kuberry , Jeffrey Connors

Dynamical systems with high intrinsic dimensionality are often characterized by extreme events having the form of rare transitions several standard deviations away from the mean. For such systems, order-reduction methods through projection…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-07-04 Zhong Yi Wan , Pantelis R. Vlachas , Petros Koumoutsakos , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Surrogate models are widely used in mechanical design and manufacturing process optimization, where high-fidelity computational models may be unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Their effectiveness, however, is often limited by data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Bingran Wang , Seongha Jeong , Sebastiaan P. C. van Schie , Dongyeon Han , Jaeho Min , John T. Hwang

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

The paper presents a new efficient and robust method for rare event probability estimation for computational models of an engineering product or a process returning categorical information only, for example, either success or failure. For…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Miroslav Vořechovský

Direct numerical simulation of hierarchical materials via homogenization-based concurrent multiscale models poses critical challenges for 3D large scale engineering applications, as the computation of highly nonlinear and path-dependent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Shiguang Deng

This paper presents a new data-driven finite element framework that is applicable to a broad range of engineering simulation problems. In the data-driven approach, the conservation laws and boundary conditions are satisfied by means of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Adriana Kuliková , Andrei G. Shvarts , Łukasz Kaczmarczyk , Chris J. Pearce

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Solving multiphysics-based inverse problems for geological carbon storage monitoring can be challenging when multimodal time-lapse data are expensive to collect and costly to simulate numerically. We overcome these challenges by combining…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-24 Ziyi Yin , Rafael Orozco , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can make this process…