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Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

For stochastic systems with nonvanishing noise, i.e., at the desired state the noise port does not vanish, it is impossible to achieve the global stability of the desired state in the sense of probability. This bad property also leads to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Zhou Fang , Chuanhou Gao

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in physics, biology, and engineering, where both deterministic drifts and random fluctuations govern system behavior. Learning these dynamics from data is particularly challenging in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

This paper considers a sequential estimation and sensor scheduling problem with one sensor and one estimator. The sensor makes sequential observations about the state of an underlying memoryless stochastic process, and makes a decision as…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Xiaobin Gao , Emrah Akyol , Tamer Basar

In many engineering systems, proper predictive maintenance and operational control are essential to increase efficiency and reliability while reducing maintenance costs. However, one of the major challenges is that many sensors are used for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Boyang Xu , Yunyi Kang , Xinyu Zhao , Hao Yan , Feng Ju

This paper considers the problem of estimating linear dynamic system models when the observations are corrupted by random disturbances with nonstandard distributions. The paper is particularly motivated by applications where sensor…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Mengyi Chen , Pengru Huang , Kostya S. Novoselov , Qianxiao Li

We review the mathematical formalism underlying the modelling of stochasticity in biological systems. Beginning with a description of the system in terms of its basic constituents, we derive the mesoscopic equations governing the dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-05 Alan J. McKane , Tommaso Biancalani , Tim Rogers

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

This work considers stochastic operators in general inner-product spaces, and in particular, systems with stochastically time-varying input delays of a known probability distribution. Stochastic dissipativity and stability are defined from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Ethan LoCicero , Amy Strong , Leila Bridgeman

Stochastic power fluctuation in a fiber optic system due to the interplay among dispersion, nonlinearity and partial coherence of the source is investigated. An analytical expression for the power fluctuation of a signal pulse due to its…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-03-23 Shiva Kumar , Jing Shao

The autonomous operation of flexible-wing aircraft is technically challenging and has never been presented within literature. The lack of an exact modeling framework is due to the complex nonlinear aerodynamic relationships governed by the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-31 Mohammed Abouheaf , Nathaniel Mailhot , Wail Gueaieb , Davide Spinello

This paper studies the classical problem of detecting the locations of signal occurrences in a one-dimensional noisy measurement. Assuming the signal occurrences do not overlap, we formulate the detection task as a constrained likelihood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-20 Mordechai Roth , Amichai Painsky , Tamir Bendory

Robust stability and stochastic stability have separately seen intense study in control theory for many decades. In this work we establish relations between these properties for discrete-time systems and employ them for robust control…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Benjamin Gravell , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tyler Summers

Can stochastic gradient methods track a moving target? We study the problem of tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and possible model misspecification. Gradient-based filters update the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Simon Donker van Heel , Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

In linear wireless networked control systems whose control is based on the system state's noisy and delayed observations, an accurate functional relationship is derived between the estimation error and the observations' freshness and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-09 He Ma , Shidong Zhou

Random perturbations applied in tandem to an ensemble of oscillating objects can synchronize their motion. We study multiple copies of an arbitrary dynamical system in a stable limit cycle, described via a standard phase reduction picture.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-23 Yunxiang Song , Thomas A. Witten
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