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Surrogate models are used for global approximation of responses generated by expensive computer experiments like CFD applications. In this paper, we make use of structural similarities which are shared by a class of related problems. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Benjamin Rosenbaum , Volker Schulz

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

This paper presents the development of an algorithm, termed the Global-Local Hybrid Surrogate (GLHS), designed to efficiently compute the probability of rare failure events in complex systems. The primary goal is to enhance the accuracy of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Audrey Gaymann , Juan M. Cardenas , Sung Min Jo , Marco Panesi , Alireza Doostan

The data-centric construction of inexpensive surrogates for fine-grained, physical models has been at the forefront of computational physics due to its significant utility in many-query tasks such as uncertainty quantification. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Surrogate models have shown to be an extremely efficient aid in solving engineering problems that require repeated evaluations of an expensive computational model. They are built by sparsely evaluating the costly original model and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-01 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Many problems in computational science and engineering can be described in terms of approximating a smooth function of $d$ variables, defined over an unknown domain of interest $\Omega\subset \mathbb{R}^d$, from sample data. Here both the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Ben Adcock , Juan M. Cardenas , Nick Dexter

We consider the sample efficient estimation of failure probabilities from expensive oracle evaluations of a limit state function via importance sampling (IS). In contrast to conventional ``two stage'' approaches, which first train a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-10 Ashwin Renganathan , Annie S. Booth

Surrogate modeling is of great practical significance for parametric differential equation systems. In contrast to classical numerical methods, using physics-informed deep learning methods to construct simulators for such systems is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Xili Wang , Kejun Tang , Jiayu Zhai , Xiaoliang Wan , Chao Yang

Surrogates in lieu of expensive-to-evaluate performance functions can accelerate the reliability analysis greatly. This paper proposes a new two-stage framework for surrogate-aided reliability analysis named Surrogates for Importance…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-01-29 Wang-Sheng Liu , Sai Hung Cheung , Wen-Jun Cao

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Gaussian process surrogates are a popular alternative to directly using computationally expensive simulation models. When the simulation output consists of many responses, dimension-reduction techniques are often employed to construct these…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Moses Y-H. Chan , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Measurement-constrained datasets, often encountered in semi-supervised learning, arise when data labeling is costly, time-intensive, or hindered by confidentiality or ethical concerns, resulting in a scarcity of labeled data. In certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Yixin Shen , Yang Ning

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

Mesh-based simulations play a key role when modeling complex physical systems that, in many disciplines across science and engineering, require the solution of parametrized time-dependent nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Nicola Rares Franco , Stefania Fresca , Filippo Tombari , Andrea Manzoni

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The performance of machine learning surrogates is critically dependent on data quality and quantity. This presents a major challenge, as high-fidelity (HF) data is often scarce and computationally expensive to acquire, while low-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jice Zeng , David Barajas-Solano , Hui Chen

In the last decade, reinforcement learning successfully solved complex control tasks and decision-making problems, like the Go board game. Yet, there are few success stories when it comes to deploying those algorithms to real-world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Giuseppe Paolo , Jonas Gonzalez-Billandon , Albert Thomas , Balázs Kégl

Surrogate models have several uses in engineering design, including speeding up design optimization, noise reduction, test measurement interpolation, gradient estimation, portability, and protection of intellectual property. Traditionally,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Eamon Whalen , Caitlin Mueller