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Recently, many studies have shed light on the high adaptivity of deep neural network methods in nonparametric regression models, and their superior performance has been established for various function classes. Motivated by this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Akihiro Oga , Yuta Koike

Without measurement errors in predictors, discontinuity of a nonparametric regression function at unknown locations could be estimated using a number of existing approaches. However, it becomes a challenging problem when the predictors…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-17 Yicheng Kang , Xiaodong Gong , Jiti Gao , Peihua Qiu

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process. The sample path is observed at $n$ discrete instants with fixed sampling interval. We construct a collection of estimators obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

The nonparametric volatility estimation problem of a scalar diffusion process observed at equidistant time points is addressed. Using the spectral representation of the volatility in terms of the invariant density and an eigenpair of the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-01 Jakub Chorowski

Random walk has wide applications in many fields, such as machine learning, biology, physics, and chemistry. Random walk can be discrete or continuous in time and space. Asymmetric random walk could be described by drift-diffusion equation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-01 Guoxing Lin , Shaokun Zheng

Our study addresses the inference of jumps (i.e. sets of discontinuities) within multivariate signals from noisy observations in the non-parametric regression setting. Departing from standard analytical approaches, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Hugo Henneuse

We study nonparametric Bayesian models for reversible multi-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. For continuous observation paths, reversibility is exploited to prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

Covariate shift in regression problems and the associated distribution mismatch between training and test data is a commonly encountered phenomenon in machine learning. In this paper, we extend recent results on nonparametric convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Lukas Trottner

This work aims to estimate the drift and diffusion functions in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a particular class of L\'evy processes with finite jump intensity, using neural networks. We propose a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Jose-Hermenegildo Ramirez-Gonzalez , Ying Sun

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-14 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , J. H. van Zanten

Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the instants (t n i)i=0,...,n with $\Delta$n = sup…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We consider a class of nonparametric time series regression models in which the regressor takes values in a sequence space. Technical challenges that hampered theoretical advances in these models include the lack of associated Lebesgue…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Seok Young Hong , Oliver Linton

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion 'factor' process. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Mark H. A. Davis , Sebastien Lleo

In this note we prove sharp lower error bounds for numerical methods for jump-diffusion stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discontinuous drift. We study the approximation of jump-diffusion SDEs with non-adaptive as well as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Verena Schwarz , Michaela Szölgyenyi