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While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Keval Doshi , Shatha Abudalou , Yasin Yilmaz

Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is critical for real-world monitoring scenarios such as industrial control and aerospace systems. Mainstream reconstruction-based anomaly detection methods suffer from two key limitations:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Jun Liu , Ying Chen , Ziqian Lu , Qinyue Tong , Jun Tang

Machine learning models are increasingly used to automate decisions that affect humans - deciding who should receive a loan, a job interview, or a social service. In such applications, a person should have the ability to change the decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Berk Ustun , Alexander Spangher , Yang Liu

We consider the problem of using logged data to make predictions about what would happen if we changed the `rules of the game' in a multi-agent system. This task is difficult because in many cases we observe actions individuals take but not…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Alexander Peysakhovich , Christian Kroer , Adam Lerer

Time series modeling is crucial for many applications, however, it faces challenges such as complex spatio-temporal dependencies and distribution shifts in learning from historical context to predict task-specific outcomes. To address these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Chidaksh Ravuru , Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Venkataramana Runkana

Multivariate time series data in practical applications, such as health care, geoscience, and biology, are characterized by a variety of missing values. In time series prediction and other related tasks, it has been noted that missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Zhengping Che , Sanjay Purushotham , Kyunghyun Cho , David Sontag , Yan Liu

Algorithmic Recourse aims to provide actionable explanations, or recourse plans, to overturn potentially unfavourable decisions taken by automated machine learning models. In this paper, we propose an interaction paradigm based on a guided…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Seyedehdelaram Esfahani , Giovanni De Toni , Bruno Lepri , Andrea Passerini , Katya Tentori , Massimo Zancanaro

Counterfactual explanations are a prominent example of post-hoc interpretability methods in the explainable Artificial Intelligence research domain. They provide individuals with alternative scenarios and a set of recommendations to achieve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Andrea Ferrario , Michele Loi

Today's cyber-world is vastly multivariate. Metrics collected at extreme varieties demand multivariate algorithms to properly detect anomalies. However, forecast-based algorithms, as widely proven approaches, often perform sub-optimally or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Lan Wang , Yusan Lin , Yuhang Wu , Huiyuan Chen , Fei Wang , Hao Yang

Recourse provides individuals who received undesirable labels (e.g., denied a loan) from algorithmic decision-making systems with a minimum-cost improvement suggestion to achieve the desired outcome. However, in practice, models often get…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Phone Kyaw , Kshitij Kayastha , Shahin Jabbari

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Counterfactual prediction is about predicting outcome of the unobserved situation from the data. For example, given patient is on drug A, what would be the outcome if she switch to drug B. Most of existing works focus on modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Yanbo Xu , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in a wide range of real-world applications. Among unsupervised approaches, self-supervised learning has gained traction for modeling normal behavior without the need of labeled data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Aitor Sánchez-Ferrera , Usue Mori , Borja Calvo , Jose A. Lozano

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-16 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Daniel Romero , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that monitor metrics in order to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. However, a scarcity of labeled data and ambiguous definitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Lawrence Wong , Dongyu Liu , Laure Berti-Equille , Sarah Alnegheimish , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

Algorithmic recourse recommends a cost-efficient action to a subject to reverse an unfavorable machine learning classification decision. Most existing methods in the literature generate recourse under the assumption of complete knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Duy Nguyen , Bao Nguyen , Viet Anh Nguyen

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) are advocated as being ideally suited to providing algorithmic recourse for subjects affected by the predictions of machine learning models. While CEs can be beneficial to affected individuals, recent work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Junqi Jiang , Francesco Leofante , Antonio Rago , Francesca Toni

Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems. Existing explanation methods often rely on unrealistic feature perturbations and ignore temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Shashank Mishra , Karan Patil , Cedric Schockaert , Didier Stricker , Jason Rambach

A machine-learning approach called "reservoir computing" has been used successfully for short-term prediction and attractor reconstruction of chaotic dynamical systems from time series data. We present a theoretical framework that describes…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-01 Zhixin Lu , Brian R. Hunt , Edward Ott

Time series anomalies can offer information relevant to critical situations facing various fields, from finance and aerospace to the IT, security, and medical domains. However, detecting anomalies in time series data is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Alexander Geiger , Dongyu Liu , Sarah Alnegheimish , Alfredo Cuesta-Infante , Kalyan Veeramachaneni