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Related papers: 2-Cats: 2D Copula Approximating Transforms

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Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

A method of modeling data with gaps by a sequence of curves has been developed. The new method is a generalization of iterative construction of singular expansion of matrices with gaps. Under discussion are three versions of the method…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 A. N. Gorban , A. A. Rossiev , D. C. Wunsch

In this work, we investigate the following: 1) how the routing affects the CapsNet model fitting; 2) how the representation using capsules helps discover global structures in data distribution, and; 3) how the learned data representation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Ancheng Lin , Jun Li , Zhenyuan Ma

For the analysis of clustered survival data, two different types of models that take the association into account, are commonly used: frailty models and copula models. Frailty models assume that conditional on a frailty term for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-10 Leen Prenen , Roel Braekers , Luc Duchateau

Bivariate meta-analysis provides a useful framework for combining information across related studies and has been utilised to combine evidence from clinical studies to evaluate treatment efficacy on two outcomes. It has also been used to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-20 Tasos Papanikos , John R Thompson , Keith R Abrams , Sylwia Bujkiewicz

In recent years, understanding the implicit regularization of neural networks (NNs) has become a central task in deep learning theory. However, implicit regularization is itself not completely defined and well understood. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Leyang Zhang , Zhi-Qin John Xu , Tao Luo , Yaoyu Zhang

Copula models of multivariate data are popular because they allow separate specification of marginal distributions and the copula function. These components can be treated as inter-related modules in a modified Bayesian inference approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lucas Kock , David T. Frazier , Michael Stanley Smith , David J. Nott

This paper lays out a principled approach to compare copula forecasts via strictly consistent scores. We first establish the negative result that, in general, copulas fail to be elicitable, implying that copula predictions cannot sensibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Tobias Fissler , Yannick Hoga

Risk evaluation is a forecast, and its validity must be backtested. Probability distribution forecasts are used in this work and allow for more powerful validations compared to point forecasts. Our aim is to use bivariate copulas in order…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Boris David , Gilles Zumbach

We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal…

We introduce a novel perspective by linking ordered probabilistic choice to copula theory, a mathematical framework for modeling dependencies in multivariate distributions. Each representation of ordered probabilistic choice behavior can be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Kemal Yildiz

Nonparanormal models describe the joint distribution of multivariate responses via latent Gaussian, and thus parametric, copulae while allowing flexible nonparametric marginals. Some aspects of such distributions, for example conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Torsten Hothorn

Quantile regression, that is the prediction of conditional quantiles, has steadily gained importance in statistical modeling and financial applications. The authors introduce a new semiparametric quantile regression method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Quantification of microbial interactions from 16S rRNA and meta-genomic sequencing data is difficult due to their sparse nature, as well as the fact that the data only provides measures of relative abundance. In this paper, we propose using…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-04 Rebecca A. Deek , Hongzhe Li

There exist many bivariate parametric copulas to model bivariate data with different dependence features. We propose a new bivariate parametric copula family that cannot only handle various dependence patterns that appear in the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-30 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We propose a new semiparametric approach for modelling nonlinear univariate diffusions, where the observed process is a nonparametric transformation of an underlying parametric diffusion (UPD). This modelling strategy yields a general class…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-08 Ruijun Bu , Kaddour Hadri , Dennis Kristensen

Missing observations are pervasive throughout empirical research, especially in the social sciences. Despite multiple approaches to dealing adequately with missing data, many scholars still fail to address this vital issue. In this paper,…

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

We propose a novel framework that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence and copula-based modeling to address two critical challenges in multivariate time-series analysis: delivering accurate predictions and enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Zanello , Davide Russo , Luca Bortolussi , Francesca Cairoli
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