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We introduce a new framework, Bayesian Distributionally Robust Optimization (Bayesian-DRO), for data-driven stochastic optimization where the underlying distribution is unknown. Bayesian-DRO contrasts with most of the existing DRO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin

Optimizing objectives under constraints, where both the objectives and constraints are black box functions, is a common scenario in real-world applications such as scientific experimental design, design of medical therapies, and industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Fengxue Zhang , Zejie Zhu , Yuxin Chen

The adoption of large-scale antenna arrays at high-frequency bands is widely envisioned in the beyond 5G wireless networks. This leads to the near-field regime where the wavefront is no longer planar but spherical, bringing new…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-28 Ang Chen , Li Chen , Yunfei Chen , Changsheng You , Guo Wei , F. Richard Yu

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

In this study, the hybrid Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) is developed for target localization, to establish the sensitivity of the estimation mean-square error (MSE) to the level of phase synchronization mismatch in coherent Multiple-Input…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-30 Hana Godrich , Alexander M. Haimovich , H. Vincent Poor

Bayesian methods lie at the heart of modern data science and provide a powerful scaffolding for estimation in data-constrained settings and principled quantification and propagation of uncertainty. Yet in many real-world use cases where…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Sitan Chen , Jingqiu Ding , Mahbod Majid , Walter McKelvie

We study the problem of fitting parametrized curves to noisy data. Under certain assumptions (known as Cartesian and radial functional models), we derive asymptotic expressions for the bias and the covariance matrix of the parameter…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2007-05-23 N. Chernov , C. Lesort

We consider the problem of localizing two sensors using signals of opportunity from beacons with known positions. Beacons and sensors have asynchronous local clocks or oscillators with unknown clock skews and offsets. We model clock skews…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-09 Mei Leng , Wee Peng Tay , Chong Meng Samson See , Sirajudeen Gulam Razul , Moe Z. Win

In this paper, the credit scoring problem is studied by incorporating networked information, where the advantages of such incorporation are investigated theoretically in two scenarios. Firstly, a Bayesian optimal filter is proposed to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-11-01 Yibei Li , Ximei Wang , Boualem Djehiche , Xiaoming Hu

Contemporary sample size calculations for external validation of risk prediction models require users to specify fixed values of assumed model performance metrics alongside target precision levels (e.g., 95% CI widths). However, due to the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-13 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Paul Gustafson , Solmaz Setayeshgar , Laure Wynants , Richard D Riley

Empirically, the PAC-Bayesian analysis is known to produce tight risk bounds for practical machine learning algorithms. However, in its naive form, it can only deal with stochastic predictors while such predictors are rarely used and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Kohei Miyaguchi

Integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) systems rely on communication waveforms to perform sensing tasks, thus making their sensing performance strongly dependent on the level of communication symbol knowledge available to the sensing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Steven Rivetti , Gabor Fodor , Emil Bjornson , Mikael Skoglund

This paper investigates jointly optimal array geometry and waveform designs for active sensing. Specifically, we focus on minimizing the Cram\'er-Rao lower bound (CRB) of the angle of a single target in white Gaussian noise. We first find…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Ids van der Werf , Robin Rajamäki , Geert Leus

In cognitive radio (CR) technology, the trend of sensing is no longer to only detect the presence of active primary users. A large number of applications demand for more comprehensive knowledge on primary user behaviors in spatial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Weijia Han , Huiyan Sang , Min Sheng , Jiandong Li , Shuguang Cui

We present a continuous-time probabilistic approach for estimating the chirp signal and its instantaneous frequency function when the true forms of these functions are not accessible. Our model represents these functions by non-linearly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön

The quantum Fisher information constrains the achievable precision in parameter estimation via the quantum Cram\'er-Rao bound, which has attracted much attention in Hermitian systems since the 60s of the last century. However, less…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-15 Jianning Li , Haodi Liu , Zhihai Wang , Xuexi Yi

We characterize the performance of the widely-used least-squares estimator in astrometry in terms of a comparison with the Cramer-Rao lower variance bound. In this inference context the performance of the least-squares estimator does not…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-18 Rodrigo A. Lobos , Jorge F. Silva , Rene A. Mendez , Marcos Orchard

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

The posterior Cram\'er-Rao lower bound (PCRLB) derived in Tichavsk\'y et al., 1998, provides a bound on the mean square error (MSE) obtained with any non-linear state filter. Computing the PCRLB involves solving complex, multi-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

Purpose: To develop a method for optimizing pulsed saturation transfer MR fingerprinting (ST MRF) acquisition. Methods: The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB) for variance assessment was employed on Bloch-McConnell-based simulated signals, followed…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Nikita Vladimirov , Moritz Zaiss , Or Perlman