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This paper is concerned with nonlinear modeling and analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic currently ravaging the planet. There are two objectives: to arrive at an appropriate model that captures the collected data faithfully, and to use that as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-15 C. A. K. Kwuimy , Foad Nazari , Xun Jiao , Pejman Rohani , C. Nataraj

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

Discovering governing equations from data is crucial for understanding complex systems in many diverse fields from science to engineering. Yet, there still is a lack of versatile computational toolbox to deal with this long standing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-15 Chengzuo Zhuge , Zheng Jiang , Zhefan Xu , Wei Chen

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

This paper proposes a model-based framework to automatically and efficiently design understandable and verifiable behaviors for swarms of robots. The framework is based on the automatic extraction of two distinct models: 1) a neural network…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Mario Coppola , Jian Guo , Eberhard Gill , Guido C. H. E. de Croon

In late 2019, COVID-19, a severe respiratory disease, emerged, and since then, the world has been facing a deadly pandemic caused by it. This ongoing pandemic has had a significant effect on different aspects of societies. The uncertainty…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mahdi Rahbar , Samaneh Yazdani

We study the spread of a novel state in a network, in the presence of an exogenous control. The considered controlled evolutionary dynamics is a non-homogeneous Markov process that describes the evolution of the states of all nodes in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Lorenzo Zino , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) have shown tremendous promise in addressing data-intensive challenges in recent years. In particular, some attempts have been made to improve predictions of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Petr Kisselev , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

This survey analyses the role of data-driven methodologies for pandemic modelling and control. We provide a roadmap from the access to epidemiological data sources to the control of epidemic phenomena. We review the available methodologies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-23 Teodoro Alamo , Daniel G. Reina , Pablo Millán Gata , Victor M. Preciado , Giulia Giordano

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

Due to the high mutation rate of the virus, the COVID-19 pandemic evolved rapidly. Certain variants of the virus, such as Delta and Omicron, emerged with altered viral properties leading to severe transmission and death rates. These…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-29 Rohitash Chandra , Chaarvi Bansal , Mingyue Kang , Tom Blau , Vinti Agarwal , Pranjal Singh , Laurence O. W. Wilson , Seshadri Vasan

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models…

Studying the dynamics of COVID-19 is of paramount importance to understanding the efficiency of restrictive measures and develop strategies to defend against upcoming contagion waves. In this work, we study the spread of COVID-19 using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Alessandro Paticchio , Tommaso Scarlatti , Marios Mattheakis , Pavlos Protopapas , Marco Brambilla

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Complex systems' modeling and simulation are powerful ways to investigate a multitude of natural phenomena providing extended knowledge on their structure and behavior. However, enhanced modeling and simulation require integration of…

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

Some of the key questions of interest during the COVID-19 pandemic (and all outbreaks) include: where did the disease start, how is it spreading, who is at risk, and how to control the spread. There are a large number of complex factors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Aniruddha Adiga , Jiangzhuo Chen , Madhav Marathe , Henning Mortveit , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anil Vullikanti

Countries are recording health information on the global spread of COVID-19 using different methods, sometimes changing the rules after a few days. They are all publishing the number of new individuals infected, cured and dead, along with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-15 J. M. Calabuig , L. M. García-Raffi , A. García-Valiente , E. A. Sánchez-Pérez

We present a phenomenological procedure of dealing with the COVID--19 data provided by government health agencies of eleven different countries. Instead of using the (exact or approximate) solutions to the SIR (or other) model(s) to fit the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Sergio A. Hojman , Felipe A. Asenjo