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For randomized clinical trials where a single, primary, binary endpoint would require unfeasibly large sample sizes, composite endpoints are widely chosen as the primary endpoint. Despite being commonly used, composite endpoints entail…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Marta Bofill Roig , Guadalupe Gómez Melis , Martin Posch , Franz Koenig

In this paper, a sparsity-aware adaptive algorithm for distributed learning in diffusion networks is developed. The algorithm follows the set-theoretic estimation rationale. At each time instance and at each node of the network, a closed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Symeon Chouvardas , Konstantinos Slavakis , Yannis Kopsinis , Sergios Theodoridis

We consider an experimental design setting in which units are assigned to treatment after being sampled sequentially from an infinite population. We derive asymptotic efficiency bounds that apply to data from any experiment that assigns…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Timothy B. Armstrong

This article proposes doubly robust estimators for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-differences (DID) research designs. In contrast to alternative DID estimators, the proposed estimators are consistent if…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Jun B. Zhao

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Confounding bias is a key challenge in causal effect estimation from observational data. Double Machine Learning (DML) addresses this issue by estimating treatment and outcome nuisance functions, constructing treatment and outcome…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Guodu Xiang , Kui Yu , Yujie Wang , Richang Hong , Fuyuan Cao , Jiye Liang

It has been found that stochastic algorithms often find good solutions much more rapidly than inherently-batch approaches. Indeed, a very useful rule of thumb is that often, when solving a machine learning problem, an iterative technique…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Andrew Cotter

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

We modify the Double Machine Learning estimator to broaden its applicability to macroeconomic time-series settings. A deterministic cross-fitting step, termed Reverse Cross-Fitting, leverages the time-reversibility of stationary series to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-12 Milos Ciganovic , Federico D'Amario , Massimiliano Tancioni

Dynamic discrete choice models often discretize the state vector and restrict its dimension in order to achieve valid inference. I propose a novel two-stage estimator for the set-identified structural parameter that incorporates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-07 Vira Semenova

The impressive performance exhibited by modern machine learning models hinges on the ability to train such models on a very large amounts of labeled data. However, since access to large volumes of labeled data is often limited or expensive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Neta Shoham , Haim Avron

Computerized adaptive testing is becoming increasingly popular due to advancement of modern computer technology. It differs from the conventional standardized testing in that the selection of test items is tailored to individual examinee's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-11 Hua-Hua Chang , Zhiliang Ying

In the era of large-scale AI deployment and high-stakes clinical trials, adaptive experimentation faces a ``trilemma'' of conflicting objectives: minimizing cumulative regret (welfare loss during the experiment), maximizing the estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jiachun Li , Kaining Shi , David Simchi-Levi

Many applications, including natural language processing, sensor networks, collaborative filtering, and federated learning, call for estimating discrete distributions from data collected in batches, some of which may be untrustworthy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Ayush Jain , Alon Orlitsky

An adaptive design adjusts dynamically as information is accrued and a consequence of applying an adaptive design is the potential for inducing small-sample bias in estimates. In psychometrics and psychophysics, a common class of studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Simon Bang Kristensen , Katrine Bødkergaard , Bo Martin Bibby

Data collection costs can vary widely across variables in data science tasks. Two-phase designs can be employed to save data collection costs. This paper considers the two-phase studies where inexpensive variables are collected for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

Two-phase sampling is a simple and cost-effective estimation strategy in survey sampling and is widely used in practice. Because the phase-2 sampling probability typically depends on low-cost variables collected at phase 1, naive estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Kazuharu Harada , Masataka Taguri

We theoretically explore the relationship between sample-efficiency and adaptivity in reinforcement learning. An algorithm is sample-efficient if it uses a number of queries $n$ to the environment that is polynomial in the dimension $d$ of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Emmeran Johnson , Ciara Pike-Burke , Patrick Rebeschini

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

The development of modern technology has enabled data collection of unprecedented size, which poses new challenges to many statistical estimation and inference problems. This paper studies the maximum score estimator of a semi-parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Xi Chen , Wenbo Jing , Weidong Liu , Yichen Zhang
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