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Non-availability of reliable and sustainable electric power is a major problem in the developing world. Renewable energy sources like solar are not very lucrative in the current stage due to various uncertainties like weather, storage, land…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Biswarup Bhattacharya , Abhishek Sinha

The ability to predict multiple possible future positions of the ego-vehicle given the surrounding context while also estimating their probabilities is key to safe autonomous driving. Most of the current state-of-the-art Deep Learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Thomas Kurbiel , Akash Sachdeva , Kun Zhao , Markus Buehren

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Nikhil Mishra , Pieter Abbeel , Igor Mordatch

Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

Accurate forecasts for day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power generation are crucial to support a high PV penetration rate in the local electricity grid and to assure stability in the grid. We use state-of-the-art tree-based machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Nick Berlanger , Noah van Ophoven , Tim Verdonck , Ines Wilms

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

The reliability of local power grid infrastructure is challenged by sustainable energy developments increasing electric load uncertainty. Transmission System Operators (TSOs) need load forecasts of higher spatial resolution, extending…

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

Multivariate time series prediction has attracted a lot of attention because of its wide applications such as intelligence transportation, AIOps. Generative models have achieved impressive results in time series modeling because they can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Tong Zhou , Yufeng Zhan , Yuanqing Xia

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

In the current context of high integration of renewable energies, maximizing infrastructures capabilities for electricity transmission is a general need for Transmission System Operators (TSO). The French TSO, RTE, is developing levers to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Clémentine Straub , Sorin Olaru , Jean Maeght , Patrick Panciatici

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Power system studies require the topological structures of real-world power networks; however, such data is confidential due to important security concerns. Thus, power grid synthesis (PGS), i.e., creating realistic power grids that imitate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-15 Mahdi Khodayar , Jianhui Wang , Zhaoyu Wang

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yinjun Wu , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Zhengzhang Chen , Yanchi Liu , Xuchao Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Susan Davidson