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We study the problem of learning a tree Ising model from samples such that subsequent predictions made using the model are accurate. The prediction task considered in this paper is that of predicting the values of a subset of variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Guy Bresler , Mina Karzand

We revisit extending the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance between probability distributions to the multidimensional setting and make new arguments about the proper way to approach this generalization. Our proposed formulation maximizes the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-16 Peter Matthew Jacobs , Foad Namjoo , Jeff M. Phillips

We give the first deterministic fully polynomial-time approximation scheme (FPTAS) for computing the partition function of a two-state spin system on an arbitrary graph, when the parameters of the system satisfy the uniqueness condition on…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Liang Li , Pinyan Lu , Yitong Yin

We revisit Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection model by considering a distributionally robust version, where the region of distributional uncertainty is around the empirical measure and the discrepancy between probability measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-15 Jose Blanchet , Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

We consider the control design of stochastic discrete-time linear multi-agent systems (MASs) under a global signal temporal logic (STL) specification to be satisfied at a predefined probability. By decomposing the dynamics into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Pantelis Sopasakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Distances between probability distributions are a key component of many statistical machine learning tasks, from two-sample testing to generative modeling, among others. We introduce a novel distance between measures that compares them…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-09 Arturo Castellanos , Anna Korba , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Hicham Janati

Temporal difference learning (TD) is a simple iterative algorithm used to estimate the value function corresponding to a given policy in a Markov decision process. Although TD is one of the most widely used algorithms in reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Jalaj Bhandari , Daniel Russo , Raghav Singal

Some properties of chaotic dynamical systems can be probed through features of recurrences, also called analogs. In practice, analogs are nearest neighbours of the state of a system, taken from a large database called the catalog. Analogs…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Paul Platzer , Pascal Yiou , Philippe Naveau , Jean-François Filipot , Maxime Thiebaut , Pierre Tandeo

This letter addresses the problem of estimating block sparse signal with unknown group partitions in a multiple measurement vector (MMV) setup. We propose a Bayesian framework by applying an adaptive total variation (TV) penalty on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Hamza Djelouat , Reijo Leinonen , Mikko J. Sillanpää , Bhaskar D. Rao , Markku Juntti

Temporal distribution shift (TDS) erodes the long-term accuracy of recommender systems, yet industrial practice still relies on periodic incremental training, which struggles to capture both stable and transient patterns. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Yuxuan Zhu , Cong Fu , Yabo Ni , Anxiang Zeng , Yuan Fang

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

In this paper, we study the finite-sample statistical rates of distributional temporal difference (TD) learning with linear function approximation. The aim of distributional TD learning is to estimate the return distribution of a discounted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yang Peng , Kaicheng Jin , Liangyu Zhang , Zhihua Zhang

We introduce a framework for the control of discrete-time switched stochastic systems with uncertain distributions. In particular, we consider stochastic dynamics with additive noise whose distribution lies in an ambiguity set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo

We want to approximate general multivariate probability density functions by deterministic sample sets. For optimal sampling, the closeness to the given continuous density has to be assessed. This is a difficult challenge in multivariate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-01 Uwe D. Hanebeck

We consider a novel multivariate nonparametric two-sample testing problem where, under the alternative, distributions $P$ and $Q$ are separated in an integral probability metric over functions of bounded total variation (TV IPM). We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Alden Green , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We describe the first strongly subquadratic time algorithm with subexponential approximation ratio for approximately computing the Fr\'echet distance between two polygonal chains. Specifically, let $P$ and $Q$ be two polygonal chains with…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Connor Colombe , Kyle Fox

We develop a rigorous and general framework for constructing information-theoretic divergences that subsume both $f$-divergences and integral probability metrics (IPMs), such as the $1$-Wasserstein distance. We prove under which assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-16 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Luc Rey-Bellet

We introduce the problem of variable-length source resolvability, where a given target probability distribution is approximated by encoding a variable-length uniform random number, and the asymptotically minimum average length rate of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-31 Hideki Yagi , Te Sun Han

We deal with stochastic differential equations with jumps. In order to obtain an accurate approximation scheme, it is usual to replace the "small jumps" by a Brownian motion. In this paper, we prove that for every fixed time $t$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-15 Vlad Bally , Yifeng Qin

We study the problem of fair rent division that entails splitting the rent and allocating the rooms of an apartment among roommates (agents) in a fair manner. In this setup, a distribution of the rent and an allocation is said to be fair if…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Eshwar Ram Arunachaleswaran , Siddharth Barman , Nidhi Rathi