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Capacity management is critical for software organizations to allocate resources effectively and meet operational demands. An important step in capacity management is predicting future resource needs often relies on data-driven analytics…

Most predictive models assume that training and test data are generated from a stationary process. However, this assumption does not hold true in practice. In this paper, we consider the scenario of a gradual concept drift due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Subhro Das , Prasanth Lade , Soundar Srinivasan

This work focuses on classification over time series data. When a time series is generated by non-stationary phenomena, the pattern relating the series with the class to be predicted may evolve over time (concept drift). Consequently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Eric L. Manibardo , Ibai Laña , Jesus L. Lobo , Javier Del Ser

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. Many technologies for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

Urban forecasting models often face a severe data imbalance problem: only a few cities have dense, long-span records, while many others expose short or incomplete histories. Direct transfer from data-rich to data-scarce cities is unreliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yue Jiang , Chenxi Liu , Yile Chen , Qin Chao , Shuai Liu , Cheng Long , Gao Cong

Animals learn the timing between consecutive events very easily. Their precision is usually proportional to the interval to time (Weber's law for timing). Most current timing models either require a central clock and unbounded accumulator…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2011-03-15 Francois Rivest , Yoshua Bengio

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

Detecting drifts in data is essential for machine learning applications, as changes in the statistics of processed data typically has a profound influence on the performance of trained models. Most of the available drift detection methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Andrea Castellani , Sebastian Schmitt , Barbara Hammer

Concept drift is the phenomenon in which the underlying data distributions and statistical properties of a target domain change over time, leading to a degradation in model performance. Consequently, production models require continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Salvatore Greco , Bartolomeo Vacchetti , Daniele Apiletti , Tania Cerquitelli

Data drift is the change in model input data that is one of the key factors leading to machine learning models performance degradation over time. Monitoring drift helps detecting these issues and preventing their harmful consequences.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Ella Rabinovich , Matan Vetzler , Samuel Ackerman , Ateret Anaby-Tavor

Learning from data streams is an increasingly important topic in data mining, machine learning, and artificial intelligence in general. A major focus in the data stream literature is on designing methods that can deal with concept drift, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-05 Jesse Read

Concept drift is a phenomenon in which the distribution of a data stream changes over time in unforeseen ways, causing prediction models built on historical data to become inaccurate. While a variety of automated methods have been developed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Weikai Yang , Zhen Li , Mengchen Liu , Yafeng Lu , Kelei Cao , Ross Maciejewski , Shixia Liu

Online Time Series Forecasting (OTSF) requires models to continuously adapt to concept drift. However, existing methods often treat concept drift as a monolithic phenomenon. To address this limitation, we first redefine concept drift by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Seungha Hong , Sukang Chae , Suyeon Kim , Sanghwan Jang , Hwanjo Yu

Forecasting future outcomes from recent time series data is not easy, especially when the future data are different from the past (i.e. time series are under temporal drifts). Existing approaches show limited performances under data drifts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Jaehoon Lee , Chan Kim , Gyumin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Sanghyun Hong , Noseong Park

Besides the classical offline setup of machine learning, stream learning constitutes a well-established setup where data arrives over time in potentially non-stationary environments. Concept drift, the phenomenon that the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , David Komnick , Barbara Hammer

Urban time series, such as mobility flows, energy consumption, and pollution records, encapsulate complex urban dynamics and structures. However, data collection in each city is impeded by technical challenges such as budget limitations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Tong Nie , Wei Ma , Jian Sun , Yu Yang , Jiannong Cao

The dynamicity of real-world systems poses a significant challenge to deployed predictive machine learning (ML) models. Changes in the system on which the ML model has been trained may lead to performance degradation during the system's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Firas Bayram , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady

AI-based digital twins are at the leading edge of the Industry 4.0 revolution, which are technologically empowered by the Internet of Things and real-time data analysis. Information collected from industrial assets is produced in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Jesus L. Lobo , Ibai Laña , Eneko Osaba , Javier Del Ser

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam