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A significant challenge in seasonal climate prediction is whether a prediction can beat climatology. We hereby present results from two data-driven models - a convolutional (CNN) and a recurrent (RNN) neural network - that predict 2 m…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-02 Etienne E. Vos , Ashley Gritzman , Sibusisiwe Makhanya , Thabang Mashinini , Campbell D. Watson

Objectives: To develop a deep learning framework to evaluate if and how incorporating micro-level mobility features, alongside historical crime and sociodemographic data, enhances predictive performance in crime forecasting at fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Ariadna Albors Zumel , Michele Tizzoni , Gian Maria Campedelli

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

In this paper, a multi-stage model for expansion co-planning of transmission lines, Battery Energy Storages (BESs), and Wind Farms (WFs) is presented considering resilience against extreme weather events. In addition to High Voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Turaj Amraee , Saleh Sadeghi Gougheri

A machine learning architecture composed of convolutional long short-term memory (convLSTM) is developed to predict spatio-temporal parameters in the SACROC oil field, Texas, USA. The spatial parameters are recorded at the end of each month…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-24 Palash Panja , Wei Jia , Alec Nelson , Brian McPherson

Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction, demonstrating competitive performance compared to traditional physics-based approaches. Data-driven systems have been trained to…

A combined high-resolution atmospheric downscaling and wave hindcast based on the ERA-40 reanalysis covering the Norwegian Sea, the North Sea and the Barents Sea is presented. The period covered is from September 1957 to August 2002. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-11-04 Magnar Reistad , Øyvind Breivik , Hilde Haakenstad , Ole Johan Aarnes , Birgitte R. Furevik , Jean-Raymond Bidlot

In the early observation period of a time series, there might be only a few historic observations available to learn a model. However, in cases where an existing prior set of datasets is available, Meta learning methods can be applicable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Shayan Jawed , Kiran Madhusudhanan , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is designed to respect spherical geometry and to accurately model the…

With the highly demand of large-scale and real-time weather service for public, a refinement of short-time cloudage prediction has become an essential part of the weather forecast productions. To provide a weather-service-compliant cloudage…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Chao Tan , Xin Feng , Jianwu Long , Li Geng

The goal of precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period of time. Very few previous studies have examined this crucial and challenging weather forecasting problem from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Xingjian Shi , Zhourong Chen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Johann Baumgartner , Katharina Gruber , Sofia Simoes , Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan , Johannes Schmidt

Tidal energy is one of the key components in increasing the penetration of renewable energy. High tidal energy penetration into the electrical grid depends on accurate tidal current speed forecasting. Model inaccuracies hinder forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Tengfei Cheng , Yangdi Huang , Ling Xiao , Yunxuan Dong

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem H. Fitwib , Selvi Karpaga Subramaniand , Anubhav Kumard , Teshome Goa Tella

Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks have been used extensively for time series forecasting in recent years due to their ability of learning patterns over different periods of time. In this paper, this ability is applied to learning the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Mayank Jain , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

Data augmentation is important for improving machine learning model performance when faced with limited real-world data. In time series forecasting (TSF), where accurate predictions are crucial in fields like finance, healthcare, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Dona Arabi , Jafar Bakhshaliyev , Ayse Coskuner , Kiran Madhusudhanan , Kami Serdar Uckardes

To unlock access to stronger winds, the offshore wind industry is advancing towards significantly larger and taller wind turbines. This massive upscaling motivates a departure from wind forecasting methods that traditionally focused on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Feng Ye , Xinxi Zhang , Michael Stein , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Data stream forecasts are essential inputs for decision making at digital platforms. Machine learning algorithms are appealing candidates to produce such forecasts. Yet, digital platforms require a large-scale forecast framework that can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-18 Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems presently use up to 100 members, larger ensembles could enrich…

In this research paper, we study the capability of artificial neural network models to emulate storm surge based on the storm track/size/intensity history, leveraging a database of synthetic storm simulations. Traditionally, Computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Ehsan Adeli , Luning Sun , Jianxun Wang , Alexandros A. Taflanidis