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We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

This paper considers the problem of estimating the cumulative distribution function and probability density function of a random variable using data quantized by uniform and non-uniform quantizers. A simple estimator is proposed based on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-03 Paolo Carbone , Johan Schoukens , István Kollár , Antonio Moschitta

We address the goal of conducting inference about a smooth finite-dimensional parameter by utilizing individual-level data from various independent sources. Recent advancements have led to the development of a comprehensive theory capable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Ellen Graham , Marco Carone , Andrea Rotnitzky

Nonlinear panel data models with fixed individual effects provide an important set of tools for describing microeconometric data. In a large class of such models (including probit, proportional hazard and quantile regression to name just a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-07 Antonio F. Galvao , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Here, we propose a general method for probabilistic time series forecasting. We combine an autoregressive recurrent neural network to model temporal dynamics with Implicit Quantile Networks to learn a large class of distributions over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Adèle Gouttes , Kashif Rasul , Mateusz Koren , Johannes Stephan , Tofigh Naghibi

Symbolic Data Analysis works with variables for which each unit or class of units takes a finite set of values/categories, an interval or a distribution (an histogram, for instance). When to each observation corresponds an empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-01 Sónia Dias , Paula Brito

Unimodal univariate distributions can be characterized as piecewise convex-concave cumulative distribution functions. In this note we transfer this shape constraint characterization to the quantile function. We show that this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Markus Zobel , Axel Munk

Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Jiyan Yang , Xiangrui Meng , Michael W. Mahoney

Present quantum theory, which is statistical in nature, does not predict joint probability distribution of position and momentum because they are noncommuting. We propose a deterministic quantum theory which predicts a joint probability…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-02-03 S. M. Roy , Virendra Singh

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely employed to balance baseline covariates in interventional studies such as clinical trials and experiments in development economics. Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Jiahui Xin , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Jordi Vitrià , Alberto Rubio

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

The paper studies the problem of distributed parameter estimation in multi-agent networks with exponential family observation statistics. A certainty-equivalence type distributed estimator of the consensus + innovations form is proposed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Soummya Kar , Jose Moura

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

In this paper we examine quantile-stratified samples from a known univariate probability distribution, with stratification occurring over a partition of the quantile regions in the distribution. We examine some general properties of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ben O'Neill

In this paper we provide a method for constructing joint distributions for an arbitrary set of observables on finite dimensional Hilbert spaces irrespective of whether the observables commute or not. These distributions have a number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 Todd A. Oliynyk

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusions. We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total variation,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais