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Rerandomization is an effective treatment allocation procedure to control for baseline covariate imbalance. For estimating the average treatment effect, rerandomization has been previously shown to improve the precision of the unadjusted…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Jens P. Nielsen , Byeong U. Park

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic statistical theory of irreducible quantum Markov chains, focusing on identifiability properties and asymptotic convergence of associated quantum statistical models. We show that the space of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Federico Girotti , Jukka Kiukas , Mădălin Guţă

Quantile and quantile effect functions are important tools for descriptive and causal analyses due to their natural and intuitive interpretation. Existing inference methods for these functions do not apply to discrete random variables. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Blaise Melly , Kaspar Wüthrich

In this paper, we develop a unified regression approach to model unconditional quantiles, M-quantiles and expectiles of multivariate dependent variables exploiting the multidimensional Huber's function. To assess the impact of changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella , Nicola Salvati , Nikos Tzavidis

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

We study the asymptotic behavior of the rank statistic for unimodal sequences. We use analytic techniques involving asymptotic expansions in order to prove asymptotic formulas for the moments of the rank. Furthermore, when appropriately…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-25 Kathrin Bringmann , Chris Jennings-Shaffer , Karl Mahlburg

This paper deals with improvement of linear quantile regression, when there are a few distinct values of the covariates but many replicates. On can improve asymptotic efficiency of the estimated regression coefficients by using suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Kaushik Jana , Debasis Sengupta

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Distributed computing offers a high degree of flexibility to accommodate modern learning constraints and the ever increasing size of datasets involved in massive data issues. Drawing inspiration from the theory of distributed computation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-17 Gérard Biau , Ryad Zenine

A new equivalence notion between non-stationary subdivision schemes, termed asymptotical similarity, which is weaker than asymptotical equivalence, is introduced and studied. It is known that asymptotical equivalence between a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-13 Costanza Conti , Nira Dyn , Carla Manni , Marie-Laurence Mazure

This paper provides a method to construct simultaneous confidence bands for quantile functions and quantile effects in nonlinear network and panel models with unobserved two-way effects, strictly exogenous covariates, and possibly discrete…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Martin Weidner

We investigate optimal subsampling for quantile regression. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a general subsampling estimator and then derive two versions of optimal subsampling probabilities. One version minimizes the trace of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-29 HaiYing Wang , Yanyuan Ma

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

This paper develops a general framework for analyzing asymptotics of $V$-statistics. Previous literature on limiting distribution mainly focuses on the cases when $n \to \infty$ with fixed kernel size $k$. Under some regularity conditions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-08 Zhengze Zhou , Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

We consider the problem of asymptotic convergence to invariant sets in interconnected nonlinear dynamic systems. Standard approaches often require that the invariant sets be uniformly attracting. e.g. stable in the Lyapunov sense. This,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Erik Steur , Henk Nijmeijer , Cees van Leeuwen