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A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

Recently, the complete left tail asymptotic for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of the classical Galton-Watson process has been derived. The derivation is based on the properties of a special function (whose inverse Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Anton A Kutsenko

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev

We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

For branching processes, the generating functions for limit distributions of so-called ratios of probabilities of rare events satisfy the Schr\"oder-type integral-functional equations. Excepting limited special cases, the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Anton A. Kutsenko

The linear-fractional Galton-Watson processes is a well known case when many characteristics of a branching process can be computed explicitly. In this paper we extend the two-parameter linear-fractional family to a much richer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Serik Sagitov , Alexey Lindo

We investigate Galton--Watson processes in varying environment, for which $\bar f_n \uparrow 1$ and $\sum_{n=1}^\infty (1-\bar f_n) = \infty$, where $\bar f_n$ stands for the offspring mean in generation $n$. Since the process dies out…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Péter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

For the density of Galton-Watson processes in the Schr\"oder case, we derive a complete left tail asymptotic series consisting of power terms multiplied by periodic factors.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Anton A. Kutsenko

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

We consider a Galton-Watson process $\mathbf{Z}% (n)=(Z_{1}(n),Z_{2}(n))$ with two types of particles. Particles of type 2 may produce offspring of both types while particles of type 1 may produce particles of their own type only. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

Consider N particles moving independently, each one according to a subcritical continuous-time Galton-Watson process unless it hits 0, at which time it jumps instantaneously to the position of one of the other particles chosen uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman , Matthieu Jonckheere

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

We prove a scaling limit theorem for discrete Galton-Watson processes in varying environments. A simple sufficient condition for the weak convergence in the Skorokhod space is given in terms of probability generating functions. The limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Fang Rongjuan , Li Zenghu , Liu Jiawei

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

The Galton-Watson process belongs to standard teaching in probability. The basic theorem says that survival is only possible when the fecondity exceeds 1. The classical proof is essentially analytic, using generating functions and convexity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Olivier Garet
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