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This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

We address the problem of Bayesian inference for parameters in ordinary differential equation (ODE) models based on observational data. Conventional approaches in this setting typically rely on numerical solvers such as the Euler or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Shoji Toyota , Yuto Miyatake

Although generative diffusion models (GDMs) are widely used in practice, their theoretical foundations remain limited, especially concerning the impact of different discretization schemes applied to the underlying stochastic differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Emanuel Pfarr , Radu Timofte , Frank Werner

Often the regression function is specified by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) involving some unknown parameters. Typically analytical solution of the ODEs is not available, and hence likelihood evaluation at many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

In this article, we consider numerical schemes for polynomial diffusions on the unit ball, which are solutions of stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient of the form $\sqrt{1-|x|^{2}}$. We introduce a semi-implicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Takuya Nakagawa , Dai Taguchi , Tomooki Yuasa

Despite its generality and powerful convergence properties, Milstein's method for functionals of spatially bounded stochastic differential equations is widely regarded as difficult to implement. This has likely prevented it from being…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Francisco Bernal

The identification of parameters in mathematical models using noisy observations is a common task in uncertainty quantification. We employ the framework of Bayesian inversion: we combine monitoring and observational data with prior…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We consider the numerical approximation of a general second order semi--linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by additive space-time noise. We introduce a new modified scheme using a linear functional of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel J Lord , Antoine Tambue

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this paper we study model reduction of linear and bilinear quadratic stochastic control problems with parameter uncertainties. Specifically, we consider slow-fast systems with unknown diffusion coefficient and study the convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Hafida Bouanani , Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri

We address the problem of simulation and parameter inference for chemical reaction networks described by the chemical Langevin equation, a stochastic differential equation (SDE) representation of the dynamics of the chemical species. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

This paper considers mean square error (MSE) analysis for stochastic gradient sampling algorithms applied to underdamped Langevin dynamics under a global convexity assumption. A novel discrete Poisson equation framework is developed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Jianfeng Lu , Xuda Ye , Zhennan Zhou

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten

Langevin Dynamics is a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) central to sampling and generative modeling and is implemented via time discretization. Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC), based on the Euler-Maruyama discretization, is the simplest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Saravanan Kandasamy , Dheeraj Nagaraj

The mean field limits of systems of interacting diffusions (also called stochastic interacting particle systems (SIPS)) have been intensively studied since McKean \cite{mckean1966class}. The interacting diffusions pave a way to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Lukasz Szpruch , Shuren Tan , Alvin Tse

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

In this paper, we are concerned with long-time behavior of Euler-Maruyama schemes associated with a range of regime-switching diffusion processes. The key contributions of this paper lie in that existence and uniqueness of numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan