Related papers: Lower k-record values from unit-Gompertz distribut…

We consider a distributed logistic regression problem where labeled data pairs $(X_i,Y_i)\in \mathbb{R}^d\times\{-1,1\}$ for $i=1,\ldots,n$ are distributed across multiple machines in a network and must be communicated to a centralized…

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Minimizing expected loss measured by a proper scoring rule, such as Brier score or log-loss (cross-entropy), is a common objective while training a probabilistic classifier. If the data have experienced dataset shift where the class…

This paper studies robust estimation in the dynamic Tobit model under local-to-unity (LUR) asymptotics. We show that both Gaussian maximum likelihood (ML) and censored least absolute deviations (CLAD) estimators are consistent, extending…

The limit distribution of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for interval censored data with more than one observation time per unobservable observation, is still unknown in general. For the so-called separated case, where one…

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

This paper introduces two methods for estimating reliable prediction intervals for local linear least-squares regressions, named Bounded Oscillation Prediction Intervals (BOPI). It also proposes a new measure for comparing interval…

Some popular Machine Learning Uncertainty Quantification (ML-UQ) calibration statistics do not have predefined reference values and are mostly used in comparative studies. In consequence, calibration is almost never validated and the…

We study sequential prediction of real-valued, arbitrary and unknown sequences under the squared error loss as well as the best parametric predictor out of a large, continuous class of predictors. Inspired by recent results from…

A new non-parametric statistic is introduced for the characterization of deviations from power laws. It is tested on the distribution of seismic energies given by the Gutenberg-Richter law. Based on the two first statistical log-moments, it…

Min-entropy sampling gives a bound on the min-entropy of a randomly chosen subset of a string, given a bound on the min-entropy of the whole string. K\"onig and Renner showed a min-entropy sampling theorem that holds relative to quantum…

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Generalized uncertainty principles (GUP) and, independently, Lorentz symmetry violations are two common features in many candidate theories of quantum gravity. Despite that, the overlap between both has received limited attention so far. In…

In this article, we derive the joint asymptotic distribution of empirical best linear unbiased predictors (EBLUPs) for individual and cell-level random effects in a crossed mixed effect model. Under mild conditions (which include moment…

We consider optimal sequential allocation in the context of the so-called stochastic multi-armed bandit model. We describe a generic index policy, in the sense of Gittins [J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 41 (1979) 148-177], based on…

Multi-dimensional distributions whose marginal distributions are uniform are called copulas. Among them, the one that satisfies given constraints on expectation and is closest to the independent distribution in the sense of Kullback-Leibler…

We consider the empirical eigenvalue distribution of an $m\times m$ principle submatrix of an $n\times n$ random unitary matrix distributed according to Haar measure. Earlier work of Petz and R\'effy identified the limiting spectral measure…

We propose a new analysis framework for clustering $M$ items into an unknown number of $K$ distinct groups using noisy and actively collected responses. At each time step, an agent is allowed to query pairs of items and observe bandit…

Kundu and Gupta (2007, Metrika, 65, 159 - 170) provided the analysis of Type-I hybrid censored competing risks data, when the lifetime distribution of the competing causes of failures follow exponential distribution. In this paper we…