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Medicine is moving from a curative discipline to a preventative discipline relying on personalised and precise treatment plans. The complex and multi level pathophysiological patterns of most diseases require a systemic medicine approach…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Pietro Barbiero , Pietro Lió

In autonomous driving, accurately interpreting the movements of other road users and leveraging this knowledge to forecast future trajectories is crucial. This is typically achieved through the integration of map data and tracked…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tobias Demmler , Andreas Tamke , Thao Dang , Karsten Haug , Lars Mikelsons

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…

Accurate forecasting of blood glucose from CGM is essential for preventing dysglycemic events, thus enabling proactive diabetes management. However, current forecasting models treat blood glucose readings captured using CGMs as a numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Shovito Barua Soumma , Hassan Ghasemzadeh

This paper presents the Derivatives Combination Predictor (DCP), a novel model fusion algorithm for making long-term glucose predictions for diabetic people. First, using the history of glucose predictions made by several models, the future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-10 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Mixtures of experts probabilistically divide the input space into regions, where the assumptions of each expert, or conditional model, need only hold locally. Combined with Gaussian process (GP) experts, this results in a powerful and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-31 Charles W. L. Gadd , Sara Wade , Alexis Boukouvalas

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have shown to be effective in time series forecasting applications, achieving better performance than standard univariate predictors in several settings. These architectures take advantage of a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We introduce a novel contextual embedding model med-gte-hybrid that was derived from the gte-large sentence transformer to extract information from unstructured clinical narratives. Our model tuning strategy for med-gte-hybrid combines…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Aditya Kumar , Simon Rauch , Mario Cypko , Oliver Amft

Predictive modeling based on genomic data has gained popularity in biomedical research and clinical practice by allowing researchers and clinicians to identify biomarkers and tailor treatment decisions more efficiently. Analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Li Zeng , Zhaolong Yu , Yiliang Zhang , Hongyu Zhao

Recent advances in neural forecasting have produced major improvements in accuracy for probabilistic demand prediction. In this work, we propose novel improvements to the current state of the art by incorporating changes inspired by recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Carson Eisenach , Yagna Patel , Dhruv Madeka

Managing patients with chronic diseases is a major and growing healthcare challenge in several countries. A chronic condition, such as diabetes, is an illness that lasts a long time and does not go away, and often leads to the patient's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Rafael T. Sousa , Lucas A. Pereira , Anderson S. Soares

In time-series forecasting, future target values may be affected by both intrinsic and extrinsic effects. When forecasting blood glucose, for example, intrinsic effects can be inferred from the history of the target signal alone…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Harry Rubin-Falcone , Joyce Lee , Jenna Wiens

Recent work on predicting patient outcomes in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) has focused heavily on the physiological time series data, largely ignoring sparse data such as diagnoses and medications. When they are included, they are usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Emma Rocheteau , Catherine Tong , Petar Veličković , Nicholas Lane , Pietro Liò

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Predicting the incidence of complex chronic conditions such as heart failure is challenging. Deep learning models applied to rich electronic health records may improve prediction but remain unexplainable hampering their wider use in medical…

Objective: There are several efforts to re-learn the 2013 ACC/AHA pooled cohort equations (PCE) for patients with specific comorbidities and geographic locations. With over 363 customized risk models in the literature, we aim to evaluate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-20 Yizhe Xu , Agata Foryciarz , Ethan Steinberg , Nigam H. Shah

Tuberculosis (TB) is a major global health challenge, and is compounded by co-morbidities such as HIV, diabetes, and anemia, which complicate treatment outcomes and contribute to heterogeneous patient responses. Traditional models of TB…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Ethan Wu , Caleb Ellington , Ben Lengerich , Eric P. Xing

Forecasting graph-based, time-dependent data has broad practical applications but presents challenges. Effective models must capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data, while also incorporating auxiliary information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yang Li , Di Wang , José M. F. Moura

Background and objective: Hybrid automated insulin delivery (hAID) systems represent the most advanced therapy for type 1 diabetes (T1D). Current systems rely on linear or linearized models of glucose homeostasis, which may compromise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Vihangkumar V. Naik , Eleonora Manzoni , Clara Escorihuela-Altaba , Jose Garcia-Tirado

The management of hyperglycemia in hospitalized patients has a significant impact on both morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to predict the need for diabetic patients to be hospitalized. However, using standard machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Shaina Raza