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Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

Time series analysis is of immense importance in extensive applications, such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and action recognition. This paper focuses on temporal variation modeling, which is the common key problem of extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Haixu Wu , Tengge Hu , Yong Liu , Hang Zhou , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

In data stream mining, predictive models typically suffer drops in predictive performance due to concept drift. As enough data representing the new concept must be collected for the new concept to be well learnt, the predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Honghui Du , Leandro L. Minku , Huiyu Zhou

Classical optimization theory deals with fixed, time-invariant objective functions. However, time-varying optimization has emerged as an important subject for decision-making in dynamic environments. In this work, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Muhammad Faraz Ul Abrar , Nicolò Michelusi , Erik G. Larsson

Financial time series are characterised by their nonstationarity and autocorrelation. Even if these time series are differenced, technically ensuring their stationarity, they experience regular covariate shifts and concept drifts. Against…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Gabriel Borrageiro , Nick Firoozye , Paolo Barucca

Most classification methods are based on the assumption that data conforms to a stationary distribution. The machine learning domain currently suffers from a lack of classification techniques that are able to detect the occurrence of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-05 Alzennyr Da Silva , Yves Lechevallier , Fabrice Rossi , Francisco De A. T. De Carvahlo

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Storm surge forecasting remains a critical challenge in mitigating the impacts of tropical cyclones on coastal regions, particularly given recent trends of rapid intensification and increasing nearshore storm activity. Traditional high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Noujoud Nader , Stefanos Giaremis , Clint Dawson , Carola Kaiser , Karame Mohammadiporshokooh , Hartmut Kaiser

We investigate ensemble methods for prediction in an online setting. Unlike all the literature in ensembling, for the first time, we introduce a new approach using a meta learner that effectively combines the base model predictions via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Arda Fazla , Mustafa Enes Aydin , Orhun Tamyigit , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is of great importance in recommendation systems and online advertising platforms. When served in industrial scenarios, the user-generated data observed by the CTR model typically arrives as a stream.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Congcong Liu , Fei Teng , Xiwei Zhao , Zhangang Lin , Jinghe Hu , Jingping Shao

While numerous forecasters have been proposed using different network architectures, the Transformer-based models have state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting. However, forecasters based on Transformers are still suffering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Kun Yi , Jingru Fei , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Shufeng Hao , Defu Lian , Wei Fan

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Multivariate time series forecasting poses an ongoing challenge across various disciplines. Time series data often exhibit diverse intra-series and inter-series correlations, contributing to intricate and interwoven dependencies that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wanlin Cai , Yuxuan Liang , Xianggen Liu , Jianshuai Feng , Yuankai Wu

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online conformal prediction techniques that leverage regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Aadyot Bhatnagar , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Yu Bai

Temporal knowledge graph, serving as an effective way to store and model dynamic relations, shows promising prospects in event forecasting. However, most temporal knowledge graph reasoning methods are highly dependent on the recurrence or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Yi Xu , Junjie Ou , Hui Xu , Luoyi Fu

The exponential growth of multivariate time series data from sensor networks in domains like industrial monitoring and smart cities requires efficient and accurate forecasting models. Current deep learning methods often fail to adequately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Chengyi Yang , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

Entity Linking (EL) is the process of associating ambiguous textual mentions to specific entities in a knowledge base. Traditional EL methods heavily rely on large datasets to enhance their performance, a dependency that becomes problematic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Xukai Liu , Ye Liu , Kai Zhang , Kehang Wang , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Time series forecasting is of significant importance across various domains. However, it faces significant challenges due to distribution shift. This issue becomes particularly pronounced in online deployment scenarios where data arrives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

This paper proposes two projector-based Hopfield neural network (HNN) estimators for online, constrained parameter estimation under time-varying data, additive disturbances, and slowly drifting physical parameters. The first is a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Miguel Pedro Silva