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The study of dependence between random variables is the core of theoretical and applied statistics. Static and dynamic copula models are useful for describing the dependence structure, which is fully encrypted in the copula probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Dominque Guégan , Matteo Iacopini

Density estimation plays a crucial role in many data analysis tasks, as it infers a continuous probability density function (PDF) from discrete samples. Thus, it is used in tasks as diverse as analyzing population data, spatial locations in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Patrik Puchert , Pedro Hermosilla , Tobias Ritschel , Timo Ropinski

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We propose a method for non-parametric conditional distribution estimation based on partitioning covariate-sorted observations into contiguous bins and using the within-bin empirical CDF as the predictive distribution. Bin boundaries are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Paolo Toccaceli

Zero-inflated continuous data ubiquitously appear in many fields, in which lots of exactly zero-valued data are observed while others distribute continuously. Due to the mixed structure of discreteness and continuity in its distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Keita Hamamoto

The histogram is an analysis tool in widespread use within many sciences, with high energy physics as a prime example. However, there exists an inherent bias in the choice of binning for the histogram, with different choices potentially…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-05-21 Abram Krislock , Nathan Krislock

The Fourier Basis Density Model (FBM) was recently introduced as a flexible probability model for band-limited distributions, i.e. ones which are smooth in the sense of having a characteristic function with limited support around the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Alfredo De la Fuente , Saurabh Singh , Jona Ballé

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Quantitative studies in many fields involve the analysis of multivariate data of diverse types, including measurements that we may consider binary, ordinal and continuous. One approach to the analysis of such mixed data is to use a copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter D. Hoff

We propose nonparametric estimation of divergence measures between continuous distributions. Our approach is based on a plug-in kernel- type estimators of density functions. We give the uniform in bandwidth consistency for the proposal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-24 Papa Ngom , Hamza Dhaker , Pierre Mendy , El Hadji Deme

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

Quantile-based distribution families are an important subclass of parametric families, capable of exhibiting a wide range of behaviors using very few parameters. These parametric models present significant challenges for classical methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Srijan Chattopadhyay , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This work proposes an efficient numerical approach for compressing a high-dimensional discrete distribution function into a non-negative tensor train (NTT) format. The two settings we consider are variational inference and density…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Xun Tang , Rajat Dwaraknath , Lexing Ying

A normalizing flow models a complex probability density as an invertible transformation of a simple density. The invertibility means that we can evaluate densities and generate samples from a flow. In practice, autoregressive flow-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-06 Conor Durkan , Artur Bekasov , Iain Murray , George Papamakarios

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We investigate and compare the fundamental performance of several distributed learning methods that have been proposed recently. We do this in the context of a distributed version of the classical signal-in-Gaussian-white-noise model, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

The family of log-concave density functions contains various kinds of common probability distributions. Due to the shape restriction, it is possible to find the nonparametric estimate of the density, for example, the nonparametric maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker

We consider the distribution of the sum and the maximum of a collection of independent exponentially distributed random variables. The focus is laid on the explicit form of the density functions (pdf) of non-i.i.d. sequences. Those are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Markus Bibinger

This paper introduces a new constraint domain for reasoning about data with uncertainty. It extends convex modeling with the notion of p-box to gain additional quantifiable information on the data whereabouts. Unlike existing approaches,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Aya Saad , Thom Fruehwirth , Carmen Gervet

Multi-step-ahead forecasts are often updated as new observations become available, since shorter forecast horizons typically improve forecast quality. However, such improvements come at the cost of forecast instability, i.e., variability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jente Van Belle , Honglin Wen , Wouter Verbeke , Pierre Pinson