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Accelerator physics relies on numerical algorithms to solve optimization problems in online accelerator control and tasks such as experimental design and model calibration in simulations. The effectiveness of optimization algorithms in…

Electron ptychography provides new opportunities to resolve atomic structures with deep sub-angstrom spatial resolution and studying electron-beam sensitive materials with high dose efficiency. In practice, obtaining accurate ptychography…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-04-26 Michael C. Cao , Zhen Chen , Yi Jiang , Yimo Han

The human brain copes with sensory uncertainty in accordance with Bayes' rule. However, it is unknown how the brain makes predictions in the presence of parameter uncertainty. Here, we tested whether and how humans take parameter…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Jannes Jegminat , Maya Jastrzebowska , Matt Pachai , Michael Herzog , Jean-Pascal Pfister

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

Mathematical models implemented on a computer have become the driving force behind the acceleration of the cycle of scientific processes. This is because computer models are typically much faster and economical to run than physical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Mookyong Son , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Bayesian Optimization is a sample-efficient black-box optimization procedure that is typically applied to problems with a small number of independent objectives. However, in practice we often wish to optimize objectives defined over many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Wesley J. Maddox , Maximilian Balandat , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Eytan Bakshy

I discuss an issue arising in analyzing data from astronomical surveys: accounting for measurement uncertainties in the properties of individual sources detected in a survey when making inferences about the entire population of sources.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Thomas J. Loredo

Bayesian analyses require that all variable model parameters are given a prior probability distribution. This can pose a challenge for analyses where multiple experiments are combined if these experiments use different parametrisations for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Lukas Koch

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

Industrial applications frequently pose a notorious challenge for state-of-the-art methods in the contexts of optimization, designing experiments and modeling unknown physical response. This problem is aggravated by limited availability of…

Atomistic simulations often rely on interatomic potentials to access greater time- and length- scales than those accessible to first principles methods such as density functional theory (DFT). However, since a parameterised potential…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-10-08 I. R. Best , T. J. Sullivan , J. R. Kermode

Bayesian optimisation is a sample-efficient search methodology that holds great promise for accelerating drug and materials discovery programs. A frequently-overlooked modelling consideration in Bayesian optimisation strategies however, is…

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Optimal design of experiments for Bayesian inverse problems has recently gained wide popularity and attracted much attention, especially in the computational science and Bayesian inversion communities. An optimal design maximizes a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

Particle-in-cell simulations are among the most essential tools for the modeling and optimization of laser-plasma accelerators, since they reproduce the physics from first principles. However, the high computational cost associated with…

Microplastics contamination is one of the most rapidly growing research topics. However, monitoring microplastics contamination in the environment presents both logistical and statistical challenges, particularly when constrained resources…

Accurate parameter dependent electro-chemical numerical models for lithium-ion batteries are essential in industrial application. The exact parameters of each battery cell are unknown and a process of estimation is necessary to infer them.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Andrea Petrocchi , Matthias K. Scharrer , Franz Pichler , Stefan Volkwein

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

While Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have drawn increasing attention, their posterior inference remains challenging, due to the high-dimensional and over-parameterized nature. To address this issue, several highly flexible and scalable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ziyu Wang , Tongzheng Ren , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang