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Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models that are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Jiaxin Zhang , Frank Liu , Mahantesh Halappanavar

We consider stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a drift coefficient that is allowed to be arbitrarily close to criticality in a scaling sense. We develop a comprehensive solution theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Lucio Galeati , Máté Gerencsér

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

We study the stochastic motion of particles driven by long-range correlated fractional Gaussian noise in a superharmonic external potential of the form $U(x)\propto x^{2n}$ ($n\in\mathbb{N}$). When the noise is considered to be external,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-17 Tobias Guggenberger , Aleksei Chechkin , Ralf Metzler

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new formalism for the deterministic analysis associated with backward stochastic differential equations driven by general c{\`a}dl{\`a}g martingales. When the martingale is a standard Brownian motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Ismail Laachir , Francesco Russo

The BBM equation is a Hamiltonian PDE which revealed to be a very interesting test-model to study the transformation property of Gaussian measures along the flow. In this paper we study the BBM equation with critical dispersion (which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Giuseppe Genovese , Renato Lucá , Nikolay Tzvetkov

We study the ergodic properties of finite-dimensional systems of SDEs driven by non-degenerate additive fractional Brownian motion with arbitrary Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. A general framework is constructed to make precise the notions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin Hairer

We propose a novel diffusion-based generative framework for financial time series that incorporates geometric Brownian motion (GBM), the foundation of the Black--Scholes theory, into the forward noising process. Unlike standard score-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Gihun Kim , Sun-Yong Choi , Yeoneung Kim

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

Exponential functionals of Brownian motion have been extensively studied in financial and insurance mathematics due to their broad applications, for example, in the pricing of Asian options. The Black-Scholes model is appealing because of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Runhuan Feng , Alexey Kuznetsov , Fenghao Yang

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

We show existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for SDE of the form \[ dX_t = g(X_t)dt + u(X_t)dt + dW^H_t \] where $W^H$ is a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in (0,\frac{1}{2})$, $u$ is a linearly dispersive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Avi Mayorcas , Łukasz Mądry

Standard quantitative models of the stock market predict a log-normal distribution for stock returns (Bachelier 1900, Osborne 1959), but it is recognised (Fama 1965) that empirical data, in comparison with a Gaussian, exhibit leptokurtosis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

This work considers a stochastic model in which the uncertainty is driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion. The market price of risk process makes the transition between real world probability measure and risk neutral probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-04 Traian A. Pirvu , Ulrich G. Haussmann

This paper explores advancements in quantum algorithms for derivative pricing of exotics, a computational pipeline of fundamental importance in quantitative finance. For such cases, the classical Monte Carlo integration procedure provides…

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

A variable annuity contract with Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) promises to return the entire initial investment through cash withdrawals during the contract plus the remaining account balance at maturity, regardless of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-17 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Xiaolin Luo

Geometric median (\textsc{Gm}) is a classical method in statistics for achieving a robust estimation of the uncorrupted data; under gross corruption, it achieves the optimal breakdown point of 0.5. However, its computational complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Anish Acharya , Abolfazl Hashemi , Prateek Jain , Sujay Sanghavi , Inderjit S. Dhillon , Ufuk Topcu

Bi-Directional Grid Constrained (BGC) stochastic processes (BGCSPs) constrain the random movement toward the origin steadily more and more, the further they deviate from the origin, rather than all at once imposing reflective barriers, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Aldo Taranto , Ron Addie , Shahjahan Khan