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We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Active learning (AL) prioritizes the labeling of the most informative data samples. However, the performance of AL heuristics depends on the structure of the underlying classifier model and the data. We propose an imitation learning scheme…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Christoffer Loeffler , Christopher Mutschler

We demonstrate that locally linear embedding (LLE) inherently admits some unwanted results when no regularization is used, even for cases in which regularization is not supposed to be needed in the original algorithm. The existence of one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Liren Lin

Local regression is widely used to explore spatial heterogeneity, but anisotropic or effectively low-dimensional neighborhoods can produce ill-conditioned local solves, causing coefficient variation driven by numerical artifacts rather than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yuichiro Otani

Understanding and inferencing Heterogeneous Treatment Effects (HTE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) are vital for developing personalized treatment recommendations. Many state-of-the-art approaches achieve inspiring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Chan Hsu , Jun-Ting Wu , Yihuang Kang

Heterogeneous treatment effects can be very important in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Heightened risks or enhanced benefits may exist for particular subsets of study subjects. When the heterogeneous treatment effects are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk , Matthew Olson , Andreas Buja , Aurelie Ouss

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a well-known estimation method used in many robotic and computer vision applications. Under Gaussian assumption, the MLE converts to a nonlinear least squares (NLS) problem. Efficient solutions to NLS…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-08-11 Viorela Ila , Lukas Polok , Marek Solony , Pavel Svoboda

Causal mediation analysis with random interventions has become an area of significant interest for understanding time-varying effects with longitudinal and survival outcomes. To tackle causal and statistical challenges due to the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Zeyi Wang , Lars van der Laan , Maya Petersen , Thomas Gerds , Kajsa Kvist , Mark van der Laan

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

Observational studies are frequently used to estimate the effect of an exposure or treatment on an outcome. To obtain an unbiased estimate of the treatment effect, it is crucial to measure the exposure accurately. A common type of exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Suhwan Bong , Kwonsang Lee , Francesca Dominici

Simulation-based inference provides a powerful framework for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is analytically intractable or computationally prohibitive. By leveraging machine-learning techniques and neural density estimators, it…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-21 Mattia Emma , Gregory Ashton

This paper focuses on the estimation of distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments that use covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR). These include designs such as Efron's biased-coin design and stratified block randomization,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-09 Undral Byambadalai , Tomu Hirata , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

We study the problem of selecting covariates for unbiased estimation of the total causal effect.Existing approaches typically rely on global causal structure learning over all variables, or on strong assumptions such as causal sufficiency -…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Zeyu Liu , Zheng Li , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Kun Zhang

A/B testing plays a central role in data-driven product development, guiding launch decisions for new features and designs. However, treatment effect estimates are often noisy due to short horizons, early stopping, and slowly accumulating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Xinran Li

Partial Label Learning (PLL) aims to learn from the data where each training instance is associated with a set of candidate labels, among which only one is correct. Most existing methods deal with such problem by either treating each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Gengyu Lyu , Songhe Feng , Yi Jin , Guojun Dai , Congyan Lang , Yidong Li

In many data classification problems, there is no linear relationship between an explanatory and the dependent variables. Instead, there may be ranges of the input variable for which the observed outcome is signficantly more or less likely.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Mallory Sheth , Roy Welsch , Natasha Markuzon

The robust improper maximum likelihood estimator (RIMLE) is a new method for robust multivariate clustering finding approximately Gaussian clusters. It maximizes a pseudo-likelihood defined by adding a component with improper constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Pietro Coretto , Christian Hennig

In cluster-specific studies, ordinary logistic regression and conditional logistic regression for binary outcomes provide maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE), respectively. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Zhulin He , Yuyuan Ouyang

We propose an adaptive ridge (AR) estimation scheme for a heteroscedastic linear regression model with log-linear noise in data. We simultaneously estimate the mean and variance parameters, demonstrating new asymptotic distributional and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Ka Long Keith Ho , Hiroki Masuda