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This paper focuses on managing the cost of deliberation before action. In many problems, the overall quality of the solution reflects costs incurred and resources consumed in deliberation as well as the cost and benefit of execution, when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 David Einav , Michael R. Fehling

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

Multi-stage decision-making under uncertainty, where decisions are taken under sequentially revealing uncertain problem parameters, is often essential to faithfully model managerial problems. Given the significant computational challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Simon Thomä , Maximilian Schiffer , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper introduces a novel distributed optimization technique for networked systems, which removes the dependency on specific parameter choices, notably the learning rate. Traditional parameter selection strategies in distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Rodrigo Aldana-López , Alessandro Macchelli , Giuseppe Notarstefano , Rosario Aragüés , Carlos Sagüés

Solving partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) is highly intractable in general, at least in part because the optimal policy may be infinitely large. In this paper, we explore the problem of finding the optimal policy from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Nicolas Meuleau , Kee-Eung Kim , Leslie Pack Kaelbling , Anthony R. Cassandra

We consider the problem of sequentially making decisions that are rewarded by "successes" and "failures" which can be predicted through an unknown relationship that depends on a partially controllable vector of attributes for each instance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-18 Yingfei Wang , Chu Wang , Warren Powell

In shared autonomy, a user and autonomous system work together to achieve shared goals. To collaborate effectively, the autonomous system must know the user's goal. As such, most prior works follow a predict-then-act model, first predicting…

This paper studies distributed online convex optimization with time-varying coupled constraints, motivated by distributed online control in network systems. Most prior work assumes a separability condition: the global objective and coupled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Zhaoye Pan , Haozhe Lei , Fan Zuo , Zilin Bian , Tao Li

Autonomous driving systems, critical for safety, require real-time guarantees and can be modeled as DAGs. Their acceleration features, such as caches and pipelining, often result in execution times below the worst-case. Thus, a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Fuma Omori , Atsushi Yano , Takuya Azumi

Scenario decision making offers a flexible way of making decision in an uncertain environment while obtaining probabilistic guarantees on the risk of failure of the decision. The idea of this approach is to draw samples of the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Guillaume O. Berger

We study the problem of synthesizing a controller that maximizes the entropy of a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) subject to a constraint on the expected total reward. Such a controller minimizes the predictability of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Michael Hibbard , Yagiz Savas , Bo Wu , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

Partially-observable problems pose a trade-off between reducing costs and gathering information. They can be solved optimally by planning in belief space, but that is often prohibitively expensive. Model-predictive control (MPC) takes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Baris Kayalibay , Atanas Mirchev , Ahmed Agha , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Large model training beyond tens of thousands of GPUs is an uncharted territory. At such scales, disruptions to the training process are not a matter of if, but a matter of when -- a stochastic process degrading training productivity.…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Alicia Golden , Michael Kuchnik , Samuel Hsia , Zachary DeVito , Gu-Yeon Wei , David Brooks , Carole-Jean Wu

We study the statistical complexity of estimating partition functions given sample access to a proposal distribution and an unnormalized density ratio for a target distribution. While partition function estimation is a classical problem,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Adam Block , Abhishek Shetty

The agent learns to organize decision behavior to achieve a behavioral goal, such as reward maximization, and reinforcement learning is often used for this optimization. Learning an optimal behavioral strategy is difficult under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Kazuki Takahashi , Tomoki Fukai , Yutaka Sakai , Takashi Takekawa

Model-based clustering is a powerful tool that is often used to discover hidden structure in data by grouping observational units that exhibit similar response values. Recently, clustering methods have been developed that permit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Sally Paganin , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) is a rich mathematical framework that embraces a large class of complex sequential decision-making problems under uncertainty with limited observations. However, the complexity of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-29 Mingyu Park , Jaeuk Shin , Insoon Yang

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we address the problem of sampling-based motion planning under motion and measurement uncertainty with probabilistic guarantees. We generalize traditional sampling-based tree-based motion planning algorithms for deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Qi Heng Ho , Zachary N. Sunberg , Morteza Lahijanian

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu