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Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have recently undergone rapid improvements. These models are typically trained on gridded reanalysis data from numerical data assimilation systems. However, reanalysis data comes with limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Jonas Scholz , Tom R. Andersson , Anna Vaughan , James Requeima , Richard E. Turner

Weather and climate models rely on parametrisations to represent unresolved sub-grid processes. Traditional schemes rely on fixed coefficients that are weakly constrained and tuned offline, contributing to persistent biases that limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Pritthijit Nath , Sebastian Schemm , Henry Moss , Peter Haynes , Emily Shuckburgh , Mark J. Webb

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

We introduce a novel continual learning method based on multifidelity deep neural networks. This method learns the correlation between the output of previously trained models and the desired output of the model on the current training…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Amanda Howard , Yucheng Fu , Panos Stinis

Machine learning (ML) is a revolutionary technology with demonstrable applications across multiple disciplines. Within the Earth science community, ML has been most visible for weather forecasting, producing forecasts that rival modern…

A machine learning method to predict steady external fluid flows using elliptic input features is introduced. Using data from as few as one high-fidelity simulation, the proposed method produces models generalizable under changes to…

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

We study the applicability of a Deep Neural Network (DNN) approach to simulate one-dimensional non-relativistic fluid dynamics. Numerical fluid dynamical calculations are used to generate training data-sets corresponding to a broad range of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-08 Kirill Taradiy , Kai Zhou , Jan Steinheimer , Roman V. Poberezhnyuk , Volodymyr Vovchenko , Horst Stoecker

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

Global climate models parameterize a range of atmospheric-oceanic processes like gravity waves, clouds, moist convection, and turbulence that cannot be sufficiently resolved. These subgrid-scale closures for unresolved processes are a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Aman Gupta , Aditi Sheshadri , Sujit Roy , Johannes Schmude , Vishal Gaur , Wei Ji Leong , Manil Maskey , Rahul Ramachandran

A significant challenge in seasonal climate prediction is whether a prediction can beat climatology. We hereby present results from two data-driven models - a convolutional (CNN) and a recurrent (RNN) neural network - that predict 2 m…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-02 Etienne E. Vos , Ashley Gritzman , Sibusisiwe Makhanya , Thabang Mashinini , Campbell D. Watson

Temperature field prediction is of great importance in the thermal design of systems engineering, and building the surrogate model is an effective way for the task. Generally, large amounts of labeled data are required to guarantee a good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yunyang Zhang , Zhiqiang Gong , Weien Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhao , Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao

Foundational Machine Learning Potentials can resolve the accuracy and transferability limitations of classical force fields. They enable microscopic insights into material behavior through Molecular Dynamics simulations, which can crucially…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Paul Fuchs , Julija Zavadlav

In this study, we improve a neural network (NN) parameterization of deep convection in the global atmosphere model ARP-GEM. To take into account the sporadic nature of convection, we develop a NN parameterization that includes a triggering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Hugo Germain , Blanka Balogh , Olivier Geoffroy , David Saint-Martin

Physics-based deep learning frameworks have shown to be effective in accurately modeling the dynamics of complex physical systems with generalization capability across problem inputs. Data-driven networks like GNN, Neural Operators have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Rini Jasmine Gladstone , Hadi Meidani

Accurate and efficient temperature prediction is critical for optimizing the preheating process of PET preforms in industrial microwave systems prior to blow molding. We propose a novel deep learning framework for generalized temperature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Ahmad Alsheikh , Andreas Fischer

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…