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Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

Solar wind forecasting plays a crucial role in space weather prediction, yet significant uncertainties persist due to incomplete magnetic field observations of the Sun. Isolating the solar wind forecasting errors due to these effects is…

Fast and accurate hourly forecasts of wind speed and power are crucial in quantifying and planning the energy budget in the electric grid. Modeling wind at a high resolution brings forth considerable challenges given its turbulent and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Huang Huang , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies and a link…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-31 Markus Gross , Vanesa Magar

With the recent interest in installing building energy management systems, the availability of data enables calibration of building energy models. This study compares calibration on eight different temporal resolutions and contrasts the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-09 Fazel Khayatian , Andrew Bollinger , Philipp Heer

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Wind speed prediction is critical to the management of wind power generation. Due to the large range of wind speed fluctuations and wake effect, there may also be strong correlations between long-distance wind turbines. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-27 Xuewei Li , Zewen Shang , Zhiqiang Liu , Jian Yu , Wei Xiong , Mei Yu

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

How much wind energy does the atmosphere generate, and how much of it can at best be used as renewable energy? This review aims to give first-order estimates and sensitivities to answer these questions that are consistent with those…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-18 Axel Kleidon

Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Yun Seon Kim , Hyebong Choi , Jaeyoung Lee , SongHee You

The share of wind power in fuel mixes worldwide has increased considerably. The main ingredient when deriving wind power predictions are wind speed data; the closer to the wind farms, the better they forecast the power supply. The current…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-17 Mihaela Puica , Fred Espen Benth

We present a new high-resolution global renewable energy atlas ({REatlas}) that can be used to calculate customised hourly time series of wind and solar PV power generation. In this paper, the atlas is applied to produce 32-year-long hourly…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-12 Gorm Bruun Andresen , Anders Aspegren Søndergaard , Martin Greiner

Potential analyses identify possible locations for renewable energy installations, such as as wind turbines and photovoltaic arrays. The results of previous potential studies, however, are not consistent due to different assumptions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Stanley Risch , Rachel Maier , Junsong Du , Noah Pflugradt , Peter Stenzel , Leander Kotzur , Detlef Stolten

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Wind is slated to become one of the most sought after source of energy in future. Both onshore as well as offshore wind farms are getting deployed rapidly over the world. This paper evaluates a neural network based time series approach to…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-18 Munir Ahmad Nayak , M C Deo

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

There is increasing interest in very short-term and higher-resolution wind power forecasting (from minutes to hours ahead), especially offshore. Statistical methods are of utmost relevance, since weather forecasts cannot be informative for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-07 Amandine Pierrot , Pierre Pinson

US wind power generation has grown significantly over the last decades, in line with the number and average size of operating turbines. However, wind power density has declined, both measured in terms of wind power output per rotor swept…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-26 Peter Regner , Katharina Gruber , Sebastian Wehrle , Johannes Schmidt

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero
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