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In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding performatively stable models, which are the fixed points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 John Miller , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic

Understanding the pattern formation in communities has been at the center of attention in various fields. Here we introduce a novel model, called an "information-particle model," which is based on the reaction-diffusion model and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-21 Junichi Miyakoshi

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to an ad-hoc operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

We introduce an original mathematical model to analyze the diffusion of posts within a generic online social platform. Each user of such a platform has his own Wall and Newsfeed, as well as his own self-posting and re-posting activity. As a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Anastasios Giovanidis , Bruno Baynat , Antoine Vendeville

Often in prediction tasks, the predictive model itself can influence the distribution of the target variable, a phenomenon termed performative prediction. Generally, this influence stems from strategic actions taken by stakeholders with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-14 Daniele Bracale , Subha Maity , Felipe Maia Polo , Seamus Somerstep , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Modern software systems provide many configuration options which significantly influence their non-functional properties. To understand and predict the effect of configuration options, several sampling and learning strategies have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-08 Pooyan Jamshidi , Norbert Siegmund , Miguel Velez , Christian Kästner , Akshay Patel , Yuvraj Agarwal

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

The spreading of news, memes and other pieces of information occurring via online social platforms has a strong and growing impact on our modern societies, with enormous consequences, that may be beneficial but also catastrophic. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-01 Daniele Notarmuzi , Claudio Castellano

Diffusion models simulate the propagation of influence in networks. The design and evaluation of diffusion models has been subjective and empirical. When being applied to a network represented by a graph, the diffusion model generates a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Fangqi Li

This work is aimed at studying realistic social control strategies for social networks based on the introduction of random information into the state of selected driver agents. Deliberately exposing selected agents to random information is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Marco Cremonini , Francesca Casamassima

In order to characterize the mechanisms governing the diffusion of particles in biological scenarios, it is essential to accurately determine their diffusive properties. To do so, we propose a machine learning method to characterize…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-11-29 Borja Requena , Sergi Masó , Joan Bertran , Maciej Lewenstein , Carlo Manzo , Gorka Muñoz-Gil

Learning curves model a classifier's test error as a function of the number of training samples. Prior works show that learning curves can be used to select model parameters and extrapolate performance. We investigate how to use learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Derek Hoiem , Tanmay Gupta , Zhizhong Li , Michal M. Shlapentokh-Rothman

Influence diffusion has been central to the study of propagation of information in social networks, where influence is typically modeled as a binary property of entities: influenced or not influenced. We introduce the notion of attitude,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Xiaoyun Fu , Madhavan Rajagopal Padmanabhan , Raj Gaurav Kumar , Samik Basu , Shawn Dorius , Pavan Aduri

Adaptive networks consist of a collection of nodes with adaptation and learning abilities. The nodes interact with each other on a local level and diffuse information across the network to solve estimation and inference tasks in a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-05 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

Recent research has explored the increasingly important role of social media by examining the dynamics of individual and group behavior, characterizing patterns of information diffusion, and identifying influential individuals. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-13 Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

In this work, we investigate an intriguing and prevalent phenomenon of diffusion models which we term as "consistent model reproducibility": given the same starting noise input and a deterministic sampler, different diffusion models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Huijie Zhang , Jinfan Zhou , Yifu Lu , Minzhe Guo , Peng Wang , Liyue Shen , Qing Qu

Dynamic models and statistical inference for the diffusion of information in social networks is an area which has witnessed remarkable progress in the last decade due to the proliferation of social networks. Modeling and inference of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Buddhika Nettasinghe

What are the key-features that enable an information diffusion model to explain the inherent dynamic, and often competitive, nature of real-world propagation phenomena? In this paper we aim to answer this question by proposing a novel class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Antonio Caliò , Andrea Tagarelli