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We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Many numerical algorithms have been established to reconstruct pressure fields from measured kinematic data with noise by Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV), such as the Pressure Poisson solver and the Omni-Directional Integration (ODI)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-01 Zejian You , Qi Wang , Xiaofeng Liu

Deterministic flow models, such as rectified flows, offer a general framework for learning a deterministic transport map between two distributions, realized as the vector field for an ordinary differential equation (ODE). However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Saurabh Singh , Ian Fischer

Normalizing flows are a powerful tool to create flexible probability distributions with a wide range of potential applications in cosmology. Here we are studying normalizing flows which represent cosmological observables at field level,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 Adam Rouhiainen , Utkarsh Giri , Moritz Münchmeyer

Learning control policies for real-world robotic tasks often involve challenges such as multimodality, local discontinuities, and the need for computational efficiency. These challenges arise from the complexity of robotic environments,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Shu-yuan Wang , Hikaru Sasaki , Takamitsu Matsubara

Neural processes (NPs) are a class of models that learn stochastic processes directly from data and can be used for inference, sampling and conditional sampling. We introduce a new NP model based on flow matching, a generative modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Hussen Abu Hamad , Dan Rosenbaum

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

A long-standing belief holds that Bayesian Optimization (BO) with standard Gaussian processes (GP) -- referred to as standard BO -- underperforms in high-dimensional optimization problems. While this belief seems plausible, it lacks both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Zhitong Xu , Haitao Wang , Jeff M Phillips , Shandian Zhe

We present a Bayesian approach to identify optimal transformations that map model input points to low dimensional latent variables. The "projection" mapping consists of an orthonormal matrix that is considered a priori unknown and needs to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Valeria Andreoli , Thomas Vandeputte , Liping Wang

Although machine learning is increasingly applied in control approaches, only few methods guarantee certifiable safety, which is necessary for real world applications. These approaches typically rely on well-understood learning algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Armin Lederer , Markus Kessler , Sandra Hirche

We adapt Gaussian processes for estimating the average dose-response function in observational settings, introducing a powerful complement to treatment effect estimation for understanding heterogeneous effects. We incorporate samples from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Jake R. Dailey

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

Operator learning offers a powerful paradigm for solving parametric partial differential equations (PDEs), but scaling probabilistic neural operators such as the recently proposed Gaussian Processes Operators (GPOs) to high-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Sawan Kumar , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Probabilistic models for sequential data are the basis for a variety of applications concerned with processing timely ordered information. The predominant approach in this domain is given by recurrent neural networks, implementing either an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-21 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens , Jürgen Beyerer

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

Normalising flows are tractable probabilistic models that leverage the power of deep learning to describe a wide parametric family of distributions, all while remaining trainable using maximum likelihood. We discuss how these methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Simon Alexanderson , Gustav Eje Henter
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