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In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Causal models are important tools to understand complex phenomena and predict the outcome of controlled experiments, also known as interventions. In this work, we present statistical rates of estimation for linear cyclic causal models under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Jan-Christian Hütter , Philippe Rigollet

In the literature surrounding Bayesian penalized regression, the two primary choices of prior distribution on the regression coefficients are zero-mean Gaussian and Laplace. While both have been compared numerically and theoretically, there…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-26 Luke Bornn , Raphael Gottardo , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

We consider the problem of distributed estimation under the Bayesian criterion and explore the design of optimal quantizers in such a system. We show that, for a conditionally unbiased and efficient estimator at the fusion center and when…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Aditya Vempaty , Hao He , Biao Chen , Pramod K. Varshney

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

A Bayesian estimator aiming at improving the conditional MLE is proposed by introducing a pair of priors. After explaining the conditional MLE by the posterior mode under a prior, we define a promising estimator by the posterior mean under…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 T. Yanagimoto , Y. Miyata

Which neural networks are similar is a fundamental question for both machine learning and neuroscience. Here, it is proposed to base comparisons on the predictive distributions of linear readouts from intermediate representations. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Heiko H. Schütt

The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

The Bayes linear estimator is derived by minimizing the Bayes risk with respect to the squared loss function. Non-unbiased estimators such as ordinary ridge, typical shrinkage, fractional rank, and restricted least squares estimators, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Hirai Mukasa

The paper focuses on minimum mean square error (MMSE) Bayesian estimation for a Gaussian source impaired by additive Middleton's Class-A impulsive noise. In addition to the optimal Bayesian estimator, the paper considers also the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Paolo Banelli

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

In a Bayesian framework we prove that the optimal estimator of a conditional density is consistent.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Agustin G. Nogales

We consider the problem of aggregating predictions or measurements from a set of human forecasters, models, sensors or other instruments which may be subject to bias or miscalibration and random heteroscedastic noise. We propose a Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Chirag Nagpal , Robert E. Tillman , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

Consider the problem of estimating parameters $X^n \in \mathbb{R}^n $, generated by a stationary process, from $m$ response variables $Y^m = AX^n+Z^m$, under the assumption that the distribution of $X^n$ is known. This is the most general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Shirin Jalali , Arian Maleki

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density \gamma,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

We consider the problem of recovering linear image $Bx$ of a signal $x$ known to belong to a given convex compact set $X$ from indirect observation $\omega=Ax+\sigma\xi$ of $x$ corrupted by Gaussian noise $\xi$. It is shown that under some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski