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This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-05 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

In this work, we address the output--feedback control problem for nonlinear systems under bounded disturbances using a moving horizon approach. The controller is posed as an optimization-based problem that simultaneously estimates the state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Guido Sanchez , Marina H. Murillo , Leonardo L. Giovanini

We consider a nonlinear discrete stochastic control system, and our goal is to design a feedback control policy in order to lead the system to a prespecified state. We adopt a stochastic approximation viewpoint of this problem. It is known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Hoang Huy Nguyen , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is one of the few control methods that can handle multivariable nonlinear controlsystems with constraints. Gaussian processes (GPs) present a powerful tool to identify the required plant model and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , D. Zhang , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

In this work, we exploit an offline-sampling based strategy for the constrained data-driven predictive control of an unknown linear system subject to random measurement noise. The strategy uses only past measured, potentially noisy data in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

An approach to stabilization of control systems with ultimately wide ranges of uncertainly disturbed parameters is offered. The method relies on using of nonlinear structurally stable functions from catastrophe theory as controllers.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-01-20 Viktor Ten

In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

We present an alternative view for the study of optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first revisit the traditional (and by now standard) separated-design method of reducing the problem to fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Serdar Yüksel

For nonlinear discrete time systems satisfying a controllability condition, we present a stability condition for model predictive control without stabilizing terminal constraints or costs. The condition is given in terms of an analytical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Lars Grüne , Jürgen Pannek , Martin Seehafer , Karl Worthmann

Generating accurate runtime safety estimates for autonomous systems is vital to ensuring their continued proliferation. However, exhaustive reasoning about future behaviors is generally too complex to do at runtime. To provide scalable and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Matthew Cleaveland , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee , Ivan Ruchkin

In this paper, a supervised clustering based-heuristic is proposed for the real-time implementation of approximate solutions to stochastic nonlinear model predictive control frameworks. The key idea is to update on-line a low cardinality…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Mazen Alamir

In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang