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Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Many classification performance metrics exist, each suited to a specific application. However, these metrics often differ in scale and can exhibit varying sensitivity to class imbalance rates in the test set. As a result, it is difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Ningsheng Zhao , Trang Bui , Jia Yuan Yu , Krzysztof Dzieciolowski

Penalized estimation principle is fundamental to high-dimensional problems. In the literature, it has been extensively and successfully applied to various models with only structural parameters. As a contrast, in this paper, we apply this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Jianqing Fan , Runlong Tang , Xiaofeng Shi

Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification through prediction sets that are guaranteed to include the ground truth with any user-specified probability. Yet, conformal prediction is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann

The partial least squares (PLS) is a popular modeling technique commonly used in social sciences. The traditional PLS algorithm deals with variables measured on interval scales while data are often collected on ordinal scales: a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-21 Gabriele Cantaluppi

In regression analysis, associations between continuous predictors and the outcome are often assumed to be linear. However, modeling the associations as non-linear can improve model fit. Many flexible modeling techniques, like (fractional)…

The problem of identifying to which of a given set of classes objects belong is ubiquitous, occurring in many research domains and application areas, including medical diagnosis, financial decision making, online commerce, and national…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 David J. Hand , Peter Christen , Sumayya Ziyad

The probability of benefit is a valuable and important measure of treatment effect, which has advantages over the average treatment effect. Particularly for an ordinal outcome, it has a better interpretation and can make apparent different…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-19 Erin E Gabriel , Michael C Sachs , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Randomised controlled trials aim to assess the impact of one (or more) health interventions relative to other standard interventions. RCTs sometimes use an ordinal outcome, which is an endpoint that comprises of multiple, monotonically…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Chris J. Selman , Katherine J. Lee , Robert K. Mahar

Recent studies have shown that deep neural networks are not well-calibrated and often produce over-confident predictions. The miscalibration issue primarily stems from using cross-entropy in classifications, which aims to align predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Daehwan Kim , Haejun Chung , Ikbeom Jang

Integrating the outputs of multiple classifiers via combiners or meta-learners has led to substantial improvements in several difficult pattern recognition problems. In the typical setting investigated till now, each classifier is trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kagan Tumer , Joydeep Ghosh

This tutorial focuses on efficient methods to predictive monitoring (PM), the problem of detecting at runtime future violations of a given requirement from the current state of a system. While performing model checking at runtime would…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Nicola Paoletti

In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels contain information about the relative order between labels that are not captured by commonly used loss functions such as multicategory cross-entropy. Recently, the preference for unimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Jaime S. Cardoso , Ricardo Cruz , Tomé Albuquerque

The adequate use of information measured in a continuous manner along a period of time represents a methodological challenge. In the last decades, most of traditional statistical procedures have been extended for accommodating these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Pablo Martinez-Camblor

Several performance measures can be used for evaluating classification results: accuracy, F-measure, and many others. Can we say that some of them are better than others, or, ideally, choose one measure that is best in all situations? To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Martijn Gösgens , Anton Zhiyanov , Alexey Tikhonov , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

Regularization techniques such as the lasso (Tibshirani 1996) and elastic net (Zou and Hastie 2005) can be used to improve regression model coefficient estimation and prediction accuracy, as well as to perform variable selection. Ordinal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-05 Michael J. Wurm , Paul J. Rathouz , Bret M. Hanlon

The comparison of benchmark error sets is an essential tool for the evaluation of theories in computational chemistry. The standard ranking of methods by their Mean Unsigned Error is unsatisfactory for several reasons linked to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

The ROC curve is widely used to assess the quality of prediction/classification/ranking algorithms, and its properties have been extensively studied. The precision-recall (PR) curve has become the de facto replacement for the ROC curve in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-23 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

When estimating causal effects from observational data with numerous covariates, employing penalized covariate selection can improve the estimation efficiency. Outcome-oriented covariate selection, which involves selecting covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Wataru Hongo , Shuji Ando , Jun Tsuchida , Takashi Sozu
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