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This paper proposes an autoregressive (AR) model for sequences of graphs, which generalises traditional AR models. A first novelty consists in formalising the AR model for a very general family of graphs, characterised by a variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Daniele Zambon , Daniele Grattarola , Lorenzo Livi , Cesare Alippi

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

Homophily, the tendency of individuals who are alike to form ties with one another, is an important concept in the study of social networks. Yet accounting for homophily effects is complicated in the context of bipartite networks where ties…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Rashmi P. Bomiriya , Alina R. Kuvelkar , David R. Hunter , Steffen Triebel

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Vector autoregression model is ubiquitous in classical time series data analysis. With the rapid advance of social network sites, time series data over latent graph is becoming increasingly popular. In this paper, we develop a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-12 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Guanyu Hu

We propose a new model for networks of time series that influence each other. Graph structures among time series are found in diverse domains, such as web traffic influenced by hyperlinks, product sales influenced by recommendation, or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Alasdair Tran , Alexander Mathews , Cheng Soon Ong , Lexing Xie

Traditional graph representations are insufficient for modelling real-world phenomena involving multi-entity interactions, such as collaborative projects or protein complexes, necessitating the use of hypergraphs. While hypergraphs preserve…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Xianghe Zhu , Qiwei Yao

Multi-relational networks among entities are frequently observed in the era of big data. Quantifying the effects of multiple networks have attracted significant research interest recently. In this work, we model multiple network effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Yanyuan Ma

While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

Matrix-valued time series data are frequently observed in a broad range of areas and have attracted great attention recently. In this work, we model network effects for high dimensional matrix-valued time series data in a matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Yanyuan Ma

The degree heterogeneity and homophily are two typical features in network data. In this paper, we formulate a general model for undirected networks with these two features and present the moment estimation for inferring the degree and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ting Yan

Recent years have witnessed the impressive progress in Neural Dependency Parsing. According to the different factorization approaches to the graph joint probabilities, existing parsers can be roughly divided into autoregressive and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ye Ma , Mingming Sun , Ping Li

In many applications, data are observed as matrices with temporal dependence. Matrix-variate time series modeling is a new branch of econometrics. Although stylized facts in several fields, the existing models do not account for regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Andrea Bucci

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

Data consisting of time-indexed distributions of cross-sectional or intraday returns have been extensively studied in finance, and provide one example in which the data atoms consist of serially dependent probability distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Chao Zhang , Piotr Kokoszka , Alexander Petersen

Recently, graph (network) data is an emerging research area in artificial intelligence, machine learning and statistics. In this work, we are interested in whether node's labels (people's responses) are affected by their neighbor's features…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Haixiang Zhang , Yingjun Deng , Alan J. X. Guo , Qing-Hu Hou , Ou Wu