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Statistical divergences are ubiquitous in machine learning as tools for measuring discrepancy between probability distributions. As these applications inherently rely on approximating distributions from samples, we consider empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Density-based directed distances -- particularly known as divergences -- between probability distributions are widely used in statistics as well as in the adjacent research fields of information theory, artificial intelligence and machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Michel Broniatowski , Wolfgang Stummer

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

The problem of learning tree-structured Gaussian graphical models from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples is considered. The influence of the tree structure and the parameters of the Gaussian distribution on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-05-06 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Animashree Anandkumar , Alan S. Willsky

The exponential ergodicity of partially dissipative McKean-Vlasov SDEs in the \(L^1\)-Wasserstein distance has been extensively studied using asymptotic reflection coupling. However, the reflection coupling method is not applicable for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Xing Huang , Eva Kopfer , Panpan Ren

Ergodic exploration has spawned a lot of interest in mobile robotics due to its ability to design time trajectories that match desired spatial coverage statistics. However, current ergodic approaches are for continuous spaces, which require…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Wong , Ryan H. Lee , Tyler M. Paine , Santosh Devasia , Ashis G. Banerjee

Properties of networks are often characterized in terms of features such as node degree distributions, average path lengths, diameters, or clustering coefficients. Here, we study shortest path length distributions. On the one hand, average…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-20 Christian Bauckhage , Kristian Kersting , Fabian Hadiji

Divergence functions are measures of distance or dissimilarity between probability distributions that serve various purposes in statistics and applications. We propose decompositions of Wasserstein and Cram\'er distances$-$which compare two…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Johannes Resin , Daniel Wolffram , Johannes Bracher , Timo Dimitriadis

A new Bayesian modelling framework is introduced for piece-wise homogeneous variable-memory Markov chains, along with a collection of effective algorithmic tools for change-point detection and segmentation of discrete time series. Building…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki

Distributions of the resilience of transport networks are studied numerically, in particular the large-deviation tails. Thus, not only typical quantities like average or variance but the distributions over the (almost) full support can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Alexander K. Hartmann

We present new min-max relations in digraphs between the number of paths satisfying certain conditions and the order of the corresponding cuts. We define these objects in order to capture, in the context of solving the half-integral linkage…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Victor Campos , Jonas Costa , Raul Lopes , Ignasi Sau

Topological data analysis is an approach to study shape of a data set by means of topology. Its main object of study is the persistence diagram, which represents the topological features of the data set at different spatial resolutions.…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Azmeer Nordin , Mohd Salmi Md Noorani , Nurulkamal Masseran , Mohd Sabri Ismail , Nur Firyal Roslan

We show that the codifference is a useful tool in studying the ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity properties of stochastic time series. While the codifference is a measure of dependence that was previously studied mainly in the context…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-25 Jakub Slezak , Ralf Metzler , Marcin Magdziarz

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

As network research becomes more sophisticated, it is more common than ever for researchers to find themselves not studying a single network but needing to analyze sets of networks. An important task when working with sets of networks is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-26 James P. Bagrow , Erik M. Bollt

The decentralized gradient descent (DGD) algorithm, and its sibling, diffusion, are workhorses in decentralized machine learning, distributed inference and estimation, and multi-agent coordination. We propose a novel, principled framework…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Erik G. Larsson , Nicolo Michelusi

We provide a coupling proof of Doob's theorem which says that the transition probabilities of a regular Markov process which has an invariant probability measure $\mu$ converge to $\mu$ in the total variation distance. In addition we show…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-01 Alexei Kulik , Michael Scheutzow

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer
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