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We consider an optimal investment and consumption problem for a Black-Scholes financial market with stochastic volatility and unknown stock appreciation rate. The volatility parameter is driven by an external economic factor modeled as a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-15 Belkacem Berdjane , Sergei Pergamenshchikov

In the present work we address the problem of evaluating the historical performance of a trading strategy or a certain portfolio of assets. Common indicators such as the Sharpe ratio and the risk adjusted return have significant drawbacks.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-10 M. Bartolozzi , C. Mellen

The Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation are widely viewed as competing frameworks for institutional portfolio management. We argue they differ in a single governance parameter: the tracking error constraint. Using U.S.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-04 Ashwin Alankar , Allan Maymin , Philip Maymin , Myron Scholes , Sujiang Zhang

According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-15 Syed Muhammad Noaman Ahmed Shah , Mazen Kebewar

Policy learning algorithms are widely used in areas such as personalized medicine and advertising to develop individualized treatment regimes. However, most methods force a decision even when predictions are uncertain, which is risky in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Ayush Sawarni , Jikai Jin , Justin Whitehouse , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We uncover a new anomaly in asset pricing that is linked to the remuneration: the more a company spends on salaries and benefits per employee, the better its stock performs, on average. Moreover, the companies adopting similar remuneration…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Francois Bonnin

Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-18 Gareth W. Peters , Pavel Shevchenko , Mark Young , Wendy Yip

The classical Merton investment problem predicts deterministic, state-dependent portfolio rules; however, laboratory and field evidence suggests that individuals often prefer randomized decisions leading to stochastic and noisy choices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Min Dai , Yuchao Dong , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

We document a high-performing cross-sectional equity factor that achieves out-of-sample Sharpe ratios above 13 through regime-conditional signal activation. The strategy combines value and short-term reversal signals only during…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Mainak Singha

We investigate the structure of the profit landscape obtained from the most basic, fluctuation based, trading strategy applied for the daily stock price data. The strategy is parameterized by only two variables, p and q. Stocks are sold and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-04 Andreas Gronlund , Il Gu Yi , Beom Jun Kim

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

This paper is the first study to examine the time instability of the APT in the Japanese stock market. In particular, we measure how changes in each risk factor affect the stock risk premiums to investigate the validity of the APT over…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-18 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

Accurately assessing a patient's risk of a given event is essential in making informed treatment decisions. One approach is to stratify patients into two or more distinct risk groups with respect to a specific outcome using both clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Karen Lostritto , Robert Strawderman , Annette Molinaro

Using standard financial ratios as variables in statistical analyses has been related to several serious problems, such as extreme outliers, asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity. The compositional-data methodology has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-20 Fatemeh Keivani , Germà Coenders , Geòrgia Escaramís

We study a continuous-time asset-allocation problem for an insurance firm that backs up liabilities from multiple non-life business lines with underwriting profits and investment income. The insurance risks are captured via a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Rafael Serrano , Camilo Castillo

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, much attention has been paid to investigating the appropriateness of the current practice of default risk modeling in banking, finance and insurance industries. A recent empirical study by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-28 Jia-Wen Gu , Bo Jiang , Wai-Ki Ching , Harry Zheng

We study decompositions of NVALUE, a global constraint that can be used to model a wide range of problems where values need to be counted. Whilst decomposition typically hinders propagation, we identify one decomposition that maintains a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-18 Christian Bessiere , George Katsirelos , Nina Narodytska , Claude-Guy Quimper , Toby Walsh

We introduce a novel framework for decomposing interventional causal effects into synergistic, redundant, and unique components, building on the intuition of Partial Information Decomposition (PID) and the principle of M\"obius inversion.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Abel Jansma

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

The long-term impact of algorithmic decision making is shaped by the dynamics between the deployed decision rule and individuals' response. Focusing on settings where each individual desires a positive classification---including many…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Lydia T. Liu , Ashia Wilson , Nika Haghtalab , Adam Tauman Kalai , Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes