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Chaotic systems are notoriously challenging to predict because of their sensitivity to perturbations and errors due to time stepping. Despite this unpredictable behavior, for many dissipative systems the statistics of the long term…

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Machine Learning (ML) inspired algorithms provide a flexible set of tools for analyzing and forecasting chaotic dynamical systems. We here analyze the performance of one algorithm for the prediction of extreme events in the two-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Martin Lellep , Jonathan Prexl , Moritz Linkmann , Bruno Eckhardt

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

From the climate system to the effect of the internet on society, chaotic systems appear to have a significant role in our future. Here a method of statistical learning for a class of chaotic systems is described along with underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-26 Michael LuValle

We show how a recently introduced statistics [Patil et al, Phys. Rev. Lett. 81 5878 (2001)] provides a direct relationship between dimension and predictability in spatiotemporal chaotic systems. Regions of low dimension are identified as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerson Francisco , Paulsamy Muruganandam

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

We infer both microscopic and macroscopic behaviors of a three-dimensional chaotic fluid flow using reservoir computing. In our procedure of the inference, we assume no prior knowledge of a physical process of a fluid flow except that its…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-09-12 Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Chaos presents complex dynamics arising from nonlinearity and a sensitivity to initial states. These characteristics suggest a depth of expressivity that underscores their potential for advanced computational applications. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shuhong Liu , Nozomi Akashi , Qingyao Huang , Yasuo Kuniyoshi , Kohei Nakajima

We scrutinize the use of machine learning, based on reservoir computing, to build data-driven effective models of multiscale chaotic systems. We show that, for a wide scale separation, machine learning generates effective models akin to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Francesco Borra , Angelo Vulpiani , Massimo Cencini

Recently, a general data driven numerical framework has been developed for learning and modeling of unknown dynamical systems using fully- or partially-observed data. The method utilizes deep neural networks (DNNs) to construct a model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Victor Churchill , Dongbin Xiu

Can a neural network trained by the time series of system A be used to predict the evolution of system B? This problem, knowing as transfer learning in a broad sense, is of great importance in machine learning and data mining, yet has not…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Yali Guo , Han Zhang , Liang Wang , Huawei Fan , Xingang Wang

Turbulence, namely, irregular fluctuations in space and time characterize fluid flows in general and atmospheric flows in particular.The irregular,i.e., nonlinear space-time fluctuations on all scales contribute to the unpredictable nature…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. S. Pethkar , A. M. Selvam

In this paper a new concept, namely the critical predictable time $T_c$, is introduced to give a more precise description of computed chaotic solutions of nonlinear differential equations: it is suggested that computed chaotic solutions are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-06-01 Shijun Liao

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

Here we define natural chaotic systems, like the earths weather and climate system, as chaotic systems which are open to the world so have constantly changing boundary conditions, and measurements of their states are subject to errors. In…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-24 Michael LuValle

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a structure called a reservoir, which has nonlinearities and short-term memory. In recent years, reservoir computing has expanded to new functions such as the autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-05 Kohei Tsuchiyama , André Röhm , Takatomo Mihana , Ryoichi Horisaki , Makoto Naruse

Learning long-term behaviors in chaotic dynamical systems, such as turbulent flows and climate modelling, is challenging due to their inherent instability and unpredictability. These systems exhibit positive Lyapunov exponents, which…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-02 Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiao Xue , Sibo Cheng , Daniel Giles , Xiaohang Tang , Yukun Hu