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We establish a log-supermodularity property for probability distributions on binary patterns observed at the tips of a tree that are generated under any 2--state Markov process. We illustrate the applicability of this result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-21 Mike Steel , Beata Faller

We consider consistent particle systems, which include independent random walkers, the symmetric exclusion and inclusion processes, as well as the dual of the KMP model. Consistent systems are such that the distribution obtained by first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Gioia Carinci , Cristian Giardinà , Frank Redig

Duality is a foundational tool in robust and distributionally robust optimization (RO and DRO), underpinning both analytical insights and tractable reformulations. The prevailing approaches in the literature primarily rely on saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Louis L. Chen , Jake Roth , Johannes O. Royset

This article aims to introduce the paradigm of distributional robustness from the field of convex optimization to tackle optimal design problems under uncertainty. We consider realistic situations where the physical model, and thereby the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Charles Dapogny , Julien Prando , Boris Thibert

We develop a theory of estimation when in addition to a sample of $n$ observed outcomes the underlying probabilities of the observed outcomes are known, as is typically the case in the context of numerical simulation modeling, e.g. in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Jobst Heitzig

he starting process with countable number of types \mu(t) generates a stopped branching process \xi(t). The starting process stops, by falling into the nonempty set S. It is assumed, that the starting process is subcritical, indecomposable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Iryna Kyrychynska , Ostap Okhrin , Yaroslav Yeleyko

The two-way modal mu-calculus is the extension of the (standard) one-way mu-calculus with converse (backward-looking) modalities. For this logic we introduce two new sequent-style proof calculi: a non-wellfounded system admitting infinite…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Johannes Kloibhofer , Yde Venema

The theory of noninterference supports the analysis of secure computations in multi-level security systems. Classical equivalence-based approaches to noninterference mainly rely on bisimilarity. In a nondeterministic setting, assessing…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Andrea Esposito , Alessandro Aldini , Marco Bernardo

We investigate a quadratic dynamical system known as nonlinear recombinations. This system models the evolution of a probability measure over the Boolean cube, converging to the stationary state obtained as the product of the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Pietro Caputo , Cyril Labbé , Hubert Lacoin

We propose dual regression as an alternative to the quantile regression process for the global estimation of conditional distribution functions under minimal assumptions. Dual regression provides all the interpretational power of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

We study which standard operators of probabilistic process calculi allow for compositional reasoning with respect to bisimulation metric semantics. We argue that uniform continuity (generalizing the earlier proposed property of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Daniel Gebler , Kim G. Larsen , Simone Tini

This paper introduces Probabilistic Deduction (PD) as an approach to probabilistic structured argumentation. A PD framework is composed of probabilistic rules (p-rules). As rules in classical structured argumentation frameworks, p-rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Xiuyi Fan

In this work, we consider the almost-sure termination problem for probabilistic programs that asks whether a given probabilistic program terminates with probability 1. Scalable approaches for program analysis often rely on modularity as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Mingzhang Huang , Hongfei Fu , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Amir Kafshdar Goharshady

We consider random processes that are history-dependent, in the sense that the distribution of the next step of the process at any time depends upon the entire past history of the process. In general, therefore, the Markov property cannot…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Peter Clifford , David Stirzaker

Guiding the design of neural networks is of great importance to save enormous resources consumed on empirical decisions of architectural parameters. This paper constructs shallow sigmoid-type neural networks that achieve 100% accuracy in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 Youngjae Min , Hye Won Chung

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

The classical random graph model $G(n,\lambda/n)$ satisfies a `duality principle', in that removing the giant component from a supercritical instance of the model leaves (essentially) a subcritical instance. Such principles have been proved…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-11-07 Svante Janson , Oliver Riordan

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

This paper studies a robust utility maximization problem for intractable claims under distributional ambiguity, where the distribution of the claim cannot be inferred from market information and its dependence with tradable assets is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Xingjian Ma

We develop a likelihood methodology which can be used to search for evidence of burst repetition in the BATSE catalog, and to study the properties of the repetition signal. We use a simplified model of burst repetition in which a number…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Carlo Graziani , Donald Q. Lamb
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