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Related papers: Uncertainty-aware Traffic Prediction under Missing…

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Deep learning models are widely used in traffic forecasting and have achieved state-of-the-art prediction accuracy. However, the black-box nature of those models makes the results difficult to interpret by users. This study aims to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Rushan Wang , Yanan Xin , Yatao Zhang , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Martin Raubal

Real-time navigation services, such as Google Maps and Waze, are widely used in daily life. These services provide rich data resources in real-time traffic conditions and travel time predictions; however, they have not been fully applied in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xilei Zhao , James C. Spall

Accurately predicting the possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability for autonomous vehicles. Since autonomous vehicles need to navigate in dynamically changing environments, they are expected to make accurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Yeping Hu , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Navigation and guidance of autonomous vehicles is a fundamental problem in robotics, which has attracted intensive research in recent decades. This report is mainly concerned with provable collision avoidance of multiple autonomous vehicles…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Michael Hoy

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Christian Schlauch , Nadja Klein , Christian Wirth

The capability to detect objects is a core part of autonomous driving. Due to sensor noise and incomplete data, perfectly detecting and localizing every object is infeasible. Therefore, it is important for a detector to provide the amount…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Gregory P. Meyer , Niranjan Thakurdesai

Methodologies for incorporating the uncertainties characteristic of data-driven object detectors into object tracking algorithms are explored. Object tracking methods rely on measurement error models, typically in the form of measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-04 Anish Muthali , Forrest Laine , Claire Tomlin

Conditions ensuring optimal parameter estimation in the presence of missing data are well established in inference, typically relying on the Missing-at-Random (MAR) assumption. In prediction, similar principles are often assumed to apply.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Pierre Catoire , Robin Genuer , Cecile Proust-Lima

Data acquisition processes for machine learning are often costly. To construct a high-performance prediction model with fewer data, a degree of difficulty in prediction is often deployed as the acquisition function in adding a new data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Bongjoon Park , Eunkyung Koh

This paper leverages macroscopic models and multi-source spatiotemporal data collected from automatic traffic counters and probe vehicles to accurately estimate traffic flow and travel time in links where these measurements are unavailable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Pablo Guarda , Sean Qian

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Nowadays, traffic monitoring systems have access to real time data, e.g. through GPS devices. We propose a new traffic model able to take into account these data and, hence, able to describe the effects of unpredictable accidents. The well…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Francesca Marcellini

Forecasting the future traffic flow distribution in an area is an important issue for traffic management in an intelligent transportation system. The key challenge of traffic prediction is to capture spatial and temporal relations between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-15 Shiheng Ma , Jingcai Guo , Song Guo , Minyi Guo

Reliable estimation of macro and micro traffic states is essential for urban traffic management. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, with their airborne full-sample continuous trajectory observation, bring new opportunities for macro- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Chaopeng Tan , Jiarong Yao , Meng Wang

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, yet uncertainty in agent behavior and perception noise makes it inherently challenging. While multi-modal trajectory prediction models generate multiple plausible future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Sajad Marvi , Christoph Rist , Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , Abhinav Valada

Autonomous Vehicle (AV) perception systems have advanced rapidly in recent years, providing vehicles with the ability to accurately interpret their environment. Perception systems remain susceptible to errors caused by overly-confident…

As the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) components in cyber-physical systems is becoming more common, the need for reliable system architectures arises. While data-driven models excel at perception tasks, model outcomes are usually not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Janek Groß , Michael Kläs , Lisa Jöckel , Pascal Gerber

In this paper, we give a double twist to the problem of planning under uncertainty. State-of-the-art planners seek to minimize the localization uncertainty by only considering the geometric structure of the scene. In this paper, we argue…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Gabriele Costante , Christian Forster , Jeffrey Delmerico , Paolo Valigi , Davide Scaramuzza

In driving scenarios with poor visibility or occlusions, it is important that the autonomous vehicle would take into account all the uncertainties when making driving decisions, including choice of a safe speed. The grid-based perception…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Markus Kängsepp , Meelis Kull
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